Recent short-range model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS places Amsterdam’s August 3 maximum near 30–32 °C, with the narrow spread between these outcomes reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer warming. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly or easterly flow advecting warmer continental air versus moderating northwesterly sea breezes from the North Sea, the timing and extent of cloud cover that modulates surface solar insolation, and any subtle shifts in subsidence under a high-pressure ridge. Historical August climatology (average highs ~22–23 °C) underscores how anomalous warm-air advection can elevate readings several degrees, while small changes in low-level humidity or wind speed alter the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore watching the next model cycles and official KNMI guidance for refinements before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 3?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 3?
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
30°C 21%
33°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
21%
31°C
28%
32°C
33%
33°C
17%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
30°C 21%
33°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
27°C or below
$10 KL.
2%
28°C
$0 KL.
3%
29°C
$0 KL.
5%
30°C
$0 KL.
21%
31°C
$0 KL.
28%
32°C
$0 KL.
33%
33°C
$0 KL.
17%
34°C
$0 KL.
10%
35°C
$30 KL.
4%
36°C
$15 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$5 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS places Amsterdam’s August 3 maximum near 30–32 °C, with the narrow spread between these outcomes reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer warming. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly or easterly flow advecting warmer continental air versus moderating northwesterly sea breezes from the North Sea, the timing and extent of cloud cover that modulates surface solar insolation, and any subtle shifts in subsidence under a high-pressure ridge. Historical August climatology (average highs ~22–23 °C) underscores how anomalous warm-air advection can elevate readings several degrees, while small changes in low-level humidity or wind speed alter the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore watching the next model cycles and official KNMI guidance for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$60Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS places Amsterdam’s August 3 maximum near 30–32 °C, with the narrow spread between these outcomes reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer warming. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly or easterly flow advecting warmer continental air versus moderating northwesterly sea breezes from the North Sea, the timing and extent of cloud cover that modulates surface solar insolation, and any subtle shifts in subsidence under a high-pressure ridge. Historical August climatology (average highs ~22–23 °C) underscores how anomalous warm-air advection can elevate readings several degrees, while small changes in low-level humidity or wind speed alter the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore watching the next model cycles and official KNMI guidance for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$60Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS places Amsterdam’s August 3 maximum near 30–32 °C, with the narrow spread between these outcomes reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer warming. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly or easterly flow advecting warmer continental air versus moderating northwesterly sea breezes from the North Sea, the timing and extent of cloud cover that modulates surface solar insolation, and any subtle shifts in subsidence under a high-pressure ridge. Historical August climatology (average highs ~22–23 °C) underscores how anomalous warm-air advection can elevate readings several degrees, while small changes in low-level humidity or wind speed alter the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore watching the next model cycles and official KNMI guidance for refinements before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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