**Trader consensus favoring 34–36°C on August 1 reflects Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts of above-normal August temperatures across Japan, driven by a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system delivering clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating.** Tokyo’s urban heat island effect routinely adds 1–3°C above surrounding areas, while high humidity (often >70%) limits nighttime cooling and supports daytime maxima in the mid-30s. Historical August averages near 31°C, with frequent peaks of 33–36°C, provide climatological context, though model runs show modest day-to-day variability from subtle steering-flow shifts. Recent late-July heatwave persistence and JMA’s seasonal outlook have reinforced probabilities around these levels ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
34°C 38%
35°C 26%
33°C 19%
36°C 13%
MỚI
$35,797 KL.
MỚI
$35,797 KL.
Aug 1, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
8%
33°C
19%
34°C
38%
35°C
26%
36°C
13%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 26%
33°C 19%
36°C 13%
MỚI
$35,797 KL.
MỚI
$35,797 KL.
Aug 1, 2026
29°C or below
$2,224 KL.
<1%
30°C
$5,159 KL.
<1%
31°C
$2,333 KL.
<1%
32°C
$6,190 KL.
8%
33°C
$3,188 KL.
19%
34°C
$2,262 KL.
38%
35°C
$2,635 KL.
26%
36°C
$2,781 KL.
13%
37°C
$3,196 KL.
4%
38°C
$3,526 KL.
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,305 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favoring 34–36°C on August 1 reflects Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts of above-normal August temperatures across Japan, driven by a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system delivering clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating.** Tokyo’s urban heat island effect routinely adds 1–3°C above surrounding areas, while high humidity (often >70%) limits nighttime cooling and supports daytime maxima in the mid-30s. Historical August averages near 31°C, with frequent peaks of 33–36°C, provide climatological context, though model runs show modest day-to-day variability from subtle steering-flow shifts. Recent late-July heatwave persistence and JMA’s seasonal outlook have reinforced probabilities around these levels ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35,797Ngày kết thúc
Aug 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favoring 34–36°C on August 1 reflects Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts of above-normal August temperatures across Japan, driven by a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system delivering clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating.** Tokyo’s urban heat island effect routinely adds 1–3°C above surrounding areas, while high humidity (often >70%) limits nighttime cooling and supports daytime maxima in the mid-30s. Historical August averages near 31°C, with frequent peaks of 33–36°C, provide climatological context, though model runs show modest day-to-day variability from subtle steering-flow shifts. Recent late-July heatwave persistence and JMA’s seasonal outlook have reinforced probabilities around these levels ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$35,797Ngày kết thúc
Aug 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus favoring 34–36°C on August 1 reflects Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts of above-normal August temperatures across Japan, driven by a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system delivering clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating.** Tokyo’s urban heat island effect routinely adds 1–3°C above surrounding areas, while high humidity (often >70%) limits nighttime cooling and supports daytime maxima in the mid-30s. Historical August averages near 31°C, with frequent peaks of 33–36°C, provide climatological context, though model runs show modest day-to-day variability from subtle steering-flow shifts. Recent late-July heatwave persistence and JMA’s seasonal outlook have reinforced probabilities around these levels ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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