Current ensemble forecasts for Moscow on August 3 point to a daily maximum near 25–27 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. This reflects typical early-August conditions driven by moderate subtropical air advection, peak seasonal insolation, and light winds under variable high pressure. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passages, which can alter surface heating rates by 1–2 °C. Moscow’s urban heat island effect may add a small positive bias to official station readings, while climatological baselines place early-month highs around 22–24 °C. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 3?
27°C 23%
26°C 22%
25°C 21%
24°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
21°C or below
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
18%
25°C
21%
26°C
22%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 23%
26°C 22%
25°C 21%
24°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
21°C or below
$10 KL.
7%
22°C
$16 KL.
3%
23°C
$0 KL.
13%
24°C
$0 KL.
18%
25°C
$5 KL.
21%
26°C
$0 KL.
22%
27°C
$0 KL.
23%
28°C
$0 KL.
6%
29°C
$31 KL.
6%
30°C
$20 KL.
7%
31°C or higher
$10 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Moscow on August 3 point to a daily maximum near 25–27 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. This reflects typical early-August conditions driven by moderate subtropical air advection, peak seasonal insolation, and light winds under variable high pressure. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passages, which can alter surface heating rates by 1–2 °C. Moscow’s urban heat island effect may add a small positive bias to official station readings, while climatological baselines place early-month highs around 22–24 °C. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$92Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Moscow on August 3 point to a daily maximum near 25–27 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. This reflects typical early-August conditions driven by moderate subtropical air advection, peak seasonal insolation, and light winds under variable high pressure. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passages, which can alter surface heating rates by 1–2 °C. Moscow’s urban heat island effect may add a small positive bias to official station readings, while climatological baselines place early-month highs around 22–24 °C. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$92Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Moscow on August 3 point to a daily maximum near 25–27 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. This reflects typical early-August conditions driven by moderate subtropical air advection, peak seasonal insolation, and light winds under variable high pressure. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passages, which can alter surface heating rates by 1–2 °C. Moscow’s urban heat island effect may add a small positive bias to official station readings, while climatological baselines place early-month highs around 22–24 °C. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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