Recent forecasts from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate Moscow's August 6 high will likely reach 29–30°C under persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warmer air masses. Minor model spreads arise from uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing, which can shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, but current conditions reflect a warmer anomaly. With resolution hinging on official observations, traders weigh these variables against the tight clustering around 28–30°C outcomes. Updated model runs and any short-term convective developments in the next 48 hours will refine the consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
29°C 33%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
31°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
28%
31°C
14%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 33%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
31°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
28%
31°C
14%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate Moscow's August 6 high will likely reach 29–30°C under persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warmer air masses. Minor model spreads arise from uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing, which can shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, but current conditions reflect a warmer anomaly. With resolution hinging on official observations, traders weigh these variables against the tight clustering around 28–30°C outcomes. Updated model runs and any short-term convective developments in the next 48 hours will refine the consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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