Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models positions 32°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s August 6 maximum, with 33°C as a close alternative, reflecting post-heatwave cooling and moderating sea breezes under mostly clear, stable high-pressure conditions. Recent observations show temperatures easing from 34°C peaks on August 2–3 toward seasonal norms near 31–32°C, with low humidity and light northerly winds limiting further intensification. Model runs indicate minimal day-to-day variability through the short forecast window, though minor shifts in steering flow or local boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings higher or lower. Traders weight these official guidance updates heavily, as resolution depends on verified station data rather than broader regional patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 6?
32°C 59%
33°C 31%
31°C 7%
30°C 3%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
59%
33°C
31%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
32°C 59%
33°C 31%
31°C 7%
30°C 3%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
59%
33°C
31%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models positions 32°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s August 6 maximum, with 33°C as a close alternative, reflecting post-heatwave cooling and moderating sea breezes under mostly clear, stable high-pressure conditions. Recent observations show temperatures easing from 34°C peaks on August 2–3 toward seasonal norms near 31–32°C, with low humidity and light northerly winds limiting further intensification. Model runs indicate minimal day-to-day variability through the short forecast window, though minor shifts in steering flow or local boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings higher or lower. Traders weight these official guidance updates heavily, as resolution depends on verified station data rather than broader regional patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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