Forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 8 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range amid persistent summer high pressure and elevated seasonal baselines, with urban heat island effects limiting overnight cooling. Recent ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability through the short-range period, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26°C and 27°C. Historical August lows average near 24–25°C, but above-normal warmth this season has shifted trader focus toward the upper end of typical nighttime ranges, while model spread and potential for localized cloud cover or sea breezes introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
27°C 45%
25°C 35%
24°C 9%
28°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
9%
25°C
35%
26°C
49%
27°C
45%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
7%
27°C 45%
25°C 35%
24°C 9%
28°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
$10 KL.
4%
22°C
$10 KL.
4%
23°C
$0 KL.
8%
24°C
$0 KL.
9%
25°C
$0 KL.
35%
26°C
$0 KL.
49%
27°C
$0 KL.
45%
28°C
$0 KL.
9%
29°C
$0 KL.
9%
30°C
$10 KL.
9%
31°C or higher
$10 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 8 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range amid persistent summer high pressure and elevated seasonal baselines, with urban heat island effects limiting overnight cooling. Recent ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability through the short-range period, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26°C and 27°C. Historical August lows average near 24–25°C, but above-normal warmth this season has shifted trader focus toward the upper end of typical nighttime ranges, while model spread and potential for localized cloud cover or sea breezes introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 8 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range amid persistent summer high pressure and elevated seasonal baselines, with urban heat island effects limiting overnight cooling. Recent ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability through the short-range period, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26°C and 27°C. Historical August lows average near 24–25°C, but above-normal warmth this season has shifted trader focus toward the upper end of typical nighttime ranges, while model spread and potential for localized cloud cover or sea breezes introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$40Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 8 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range amid persistent summer high pressure and elevated seasonal baselines, with urban heat island effects limiting overnight cooling. Recent ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability through the short-range period, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26°C and 27°C. Historical August lows average near 24–25°C, but above-normal warmth this season has shifted trader focus toward the upper end of typical nighttime ranges, while model spread and potential for localized cloud cover or sea breezes introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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