Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a building upper-level ridge and offshore flow promoting sunny skies and above-normal warmth for Seattle on August 5, with forecast highs centered in the upper 80s. This setup, amid an El Niño-influenced warmer-than-average summer, supports the tight clustering between 88–91°F outcomes by limiting marine-layer cooling while allowing daytime heating under clear conditions. Subtle differences in ridge timing, wind speeds, and any residual smoke or thin clouds could shift the actual maximum by a degree or two, explaining the balanced trader weighting across those bins versus lower probabilities for 86°F or below. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 5?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 5?
88-89°F 35%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 20%
84-85°F 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 35%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 20%
84-85°F 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
79°F or below
$99 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$100 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$710 KL.
1%
84-85°F
$219 KL.
7%
86-87°F
$440 KL.
20%
88-89°F
$101 KL.
35%
90-91°F
$785 KL.
31%
92-93°F
$208 KL.
6%
94-95°F
$33 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$418 KL.
<1%
98°F or higher
$189 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a building upper-level ridge and offshore flow promoting sunny skies and above-normal warmth for Seattle on August 5, with forecast highs centered in the upper 80s. This setup, amid an El Niño-influenced warmer-than-average summer, supports the tight clustering between 88–91°F outcomes by limiting marine-layer cooling while allowing daytime heating under clear conditions. Subtle differences in ridge timing, wind speeds, and any residual smoke or thin clouds could shift the actual maximum by a degree or two, explaining the balanced trader weighting across those bins versus lower probabilities for 86°F or below. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,300Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a building upper-level ridge and offshore flow promoting sunny skies and above-normal warmth for Seattle on August 5, with forecast highs centered in the upper 80s. This setup, amid an El Niño-influenced warmer-than-average summer, supports the tight clustering between 88–91°F outcomes by limiting marine-layer cooling while allowing daytime heating under clear conditions. Subtle differences in ridge timing, wind speeds, and any residual smoke or thin clouds could shift the actual maximum by a degree or two, explaining the balanced trader weighting across those bins versus lower probabilities for 86°F or below. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,300Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a building upper-level ridge and offshore flow promoting sunny skies and above-normal warmth for Seattle on August 5, with forecast highs centered in the upper 80s. This setup, amid an El Niño-influenced warmer-than-average summer, supports the tight clustering between 88–91°F outcomes by limiting marine-layer cooling while allowing daytime heating under clear conditions. Subtle differences in ridge timing, wind speeds, and any residual smoke or thin clouds could shift the actual maximum by a degree or two, explaining the balanced trader weighting across those bins versus lower probabilities for 86°F or below. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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