Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with record highs exceeding 40°C in early August, have elevated overnight minima in the Seoul-Incheon region through sustained high pressure, clear skies, and reduced radiative cooling. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate the August 8 low will likely settle near 26–28°C, with urban heat-island effects and light winds limiting further drops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27°C versus 28°C reflects minor divergences among forecast runs on exact timing of any late-day cloud increases or marine air influence from the Yellow Sea, while lower-probability outcomes below 25°C would require an unforecasted frontal passage before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?
28°C 49%
27°C 39%
29°C 10%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
37%
27°C
39%
28°C
49%
29°C
10%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 49%
27°C 39%
29°C 10%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
37%
27°C
39%
28°C
49%
29°C
10%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with record highs exceeding 40°C in early August, have elevated overnight minima in the Seoul-Incheon region through sustained high pressure, clear skies, and reduced radiative cooling. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate the August 8 low will likely settle near 26–28°C, with urban heat-island effects and light winds limiting further drops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27°C versus 28°C reflects minor divergences among forecast runs on exact timing of any late-day cloud increases or marine air influence from the Yellow Sea, while lower-probability outcomes below 25°C would require an unforecasted frontal passage before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp