Forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures near 35°C in the Seoul-Incheon region on August 6, 2026, under persistent high-pressure influence from the North Pacific subtropical ridge that sustains hot, humid summer conditions. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 35°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 34°C and 36°C, as current guidance shows no strong frontal systems or monsoon remnants to moderate highs below seasonal norms of 31–32°C. Short-range ensembles reflect typical early-August variability with limited model spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or local sea-breeze effects could adjust the exact maximum before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.