Persistent heat wave conditions across the Seoul-Incheon region, reinforced by high-pressure dominance and clear skies, position mid-30s Celsius as the leading outcome for the August 7 daily high at the official Incheon station. Korea Meteorological Administration warnings and recent model runs align with trader consensus around 35°C (42.5% implied probability) and 36°C (29.5%), reflecting above-average August values near 31°C and minimal cooling from light easterly winds or humidity near 50%. Short-term forecasts indicate limited cloud cover or precipitation risk through the resolution window, sustaining elevated readings while acknowledging typical diurnal variability and potential minor model adjustments before final measurement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
35°C 43%
36°C 30%
34°C 16%
37°C 10.2%
$12,909 KL.
$12,909 KL.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
16%
35°C
43%
36°C
30%
37°C
10%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 30%
34°C 16%
37°C 10.2%
$12,909 KL.
$12,909 KL.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
16%
35°C
43%
36°C
30%
37°C
10%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat wave conditions across the Seoul-Incheon region, reinforced by high-pressure dominance and clear skies, position mid-30s Celsius as the leading outcome for the August 7 daily high at the official Incheon station. Korea Meteorological Administration warnings and recent model runs align with trader consensus around 35°C (42.5% implied probability) and 36°C (29.5%), reflecting above-average August values near 31°C and minimal cooling from light easterly winds or humidity near 50%. Short-term forecasts indicate limited cloud cover or precipitation risk through the resolution window, sustaining elevated readings while acknowledging typical diurnal variability and potential minor model adjustments before final measurement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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