**Current trader consensus between 33°C and 34°C reflects the narrow range in official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August 7, which forecasts a daily maximum of 28–34°C amid weak southwesterly flow and an approaching area of low pressure over the northern South China Sea.** Afternoon convective development and isolated squally thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and limit surface heating after midday, creating uncertainty over whether the peak reaches the upper end of the forecast. Seasonal context supports above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and elevated sea-surface temperatures, yet the short-term steering pattern and humidity levels (60–90% RH) introduce model spread in afternoon maxima. Updated HKO briefings and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
34°C 43%
33°C 36%
35°C 14%
36°C 6%
MỚI
$26,375 KL.
MỚI
$26,375 KL.
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
36%
34°C
43%
35°C
14%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 36%
35°C 14%
36°C 6%
MỚI
$26,375 KL.
MỚI
$26,375 KL.
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
$1,939 KL.
<1%
30°C
$957 KL.
<1%
31°C
$1,598 KL.
<1%
32°C
$3,483 KL.
5%
33°C
$2,859 KL.
36%
34°C
$2,730 KL.
43%
35°C
$5,322 KL.
14%
36°C
$4,027 KL.
6%
37°C
$1,283 KL.
1%
38°C
$576 KL.
<1%
39°C or higher
$1,601 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current trader consensus between 33°C and 34°C reflects the narrow range in official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August 7, which forecasts a daily maximum of 28–34°C amid weak southwesterly flow and an approaching area of low pressure over the northern South China Sea.** Afternoon convective development and isolated squally thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and limit surface heating after midday, creating uncertainty over whether the peak reaches the upper end of the forecast. Seasonal context supports above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and elevated sea-surface temperatures, yet the short-term steering pattern and humidity levels (60–90% RH) introduce model spread in afternoon maxima. Updated HKO briefings and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,375Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current trader consensus between 33°C and 34°C reflects the narrow range in official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August 7, which forecasts a daily maximum of 28–34°C amid weak southwesterly flow and an approaching area of low pressure over the northern South China Sea.** Afternoon convective development and isolated squally thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and limit surface heating after midday, creating uncertainty over whether the peak reaches the upper end of the forecast. Seasonal context supports above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and elevated sea-surface temperatures, yet the short-term steering pattern and humidity levels (60–90% RH) introduce model spread in afternoon maxima. Updated HKO briefings and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$26,375Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current trader consensus between 33°C and 34°C reflects the narrow range in official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August 7, which forecasts a daily maximum of 28–34°C amid weak southwesterly flow and an approaching area of low pressure over the northern South China Sea.** Afternoon convective development and isolated squally thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and limit surface heating after midday, creating uncertainty over whether the peak reaches the upper end of the forecast. Seasonal context supports above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and elevated sea-surface temperatures, yet the short-term steering pattern and humidity levels (60–90% RH) introduce model spread in afternoon maxima. Updated HKO briefings and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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