The market's tight spread between 35°C and 36°C mirrors the Hong Kong Observatory's August 7 forecast of a 36°C maximum on August 9, driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin that favors extremely hot, mainly fine conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements introduce key uncertainty, as early or widespread rain could cap peaks near 35°C while clearer skies push toward or above 36°C. Seasonal forecasts of normal-to-above-normal August temperatures and elevated humidity provide supportive context, but resolution hinges on precise timing of any showers. Traders will watch subsequent HKO updates and model runs for shifts in the expected maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
35°C 38%
36°C 29%
37°C 19%
34°C 10%
MỚI
$11,585 KL.
MỚI
$11,585 KL.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
38%
36°C
29%
37°C
19%
38°C
8%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
36°C 29%
37°C 19%
34°C 10%
MỚI
$11,585 KL.
MỚI
$11,585 KL.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$598 KL.
<1%
32°C
$1,762 KL.
<1%
33°C
$957 KL.
3%
34°C
$1,221 KL.
10%
35°C
$2,002 KL.
38%
36°C
$1,242 KL.
29%
37°C
$1,135 KL.
19%
38°C
$1,495 KL.
8%
39°C
$401 KL.
<1%
40°C
$382 KL.
<1%
41°C or higher
$390 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's tight spread between 35°C and 36°C mirrors the Hong Kong Observatory's August 7 forecast of a 36°C maximum on August 9, driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin that favors extremely hot, mainly fine conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements introduce key uncertainty, as early or widespread rain could cap peaks near 35°C while clearer skies push toward or above 36°C. Seasonal forecasts of normal-to-above-normal August temperatures and elevated humidity provide supportive context, but resolution hinges on precise timing of any showers. Traders will watch subsequent HKO updates and model runs for shifts in the expected maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,585Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's tight spread between 35°C and 36°C mirrors the Hong Kong Observatory's August 7 forecast of a 36°C maximum on August 9, driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin that favors extremely hot, mainly fine conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements introduce key uncertainty, as early or widespread rain could cap peaks near 35°C while clearer skies push toward or above 36°C. Seasonal forecasts of normal-to-above-normal August temperatures and elevated humidity provide supportive context, but resolution hinges on precise timing of any showers. Traders will watch subsequent HKO updates and model runs for shifts in the expected maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$11,585Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's tight spread between 35°C and 36°C mirrors the Hong Kong Observatory's August 7 forecast of a 36°C maximum on August 9, driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin that favors extremely hot, mainly fine conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements introduce key uncertainty, as early or widespread rain could cap peaks near 35°C while clearer skies push toward or above 36°C. Seasonal forecasts of normal-to-above-normal August temperatures and elevated humidity provide supportive context, but resolution hinges on precise timing of any showers. Traders will watch subsequent HKO updates and model runs for shifts in the expected maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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