Trader sentiment centers on Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance projecting a minimum near 27°C for August 7, consistent with the 54% implied probability on that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions—elevated humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover or showers, and seasonal averages of 26–28°C—anchor the distribution, with 28°C and 26°C sharing the next tiers. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, amid a long-term warming trend, supports limited downside risk below 26°C. Short-term forecasts indicating showers on the 7th further constrain cooling potential, while any unexpected clear-sky window could allow a dip toward 26°C. Resolution hinges on the official verified low from the Observatory’s network.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
27°C 54%
28°C 22%
26°C 16%
25°C 5%
MỚI
$20,517 KL.
MỚI
$20,517 KL.
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
54%
28°C
28%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 54%
28°C 22%
26°C 16%
25°C 5%
MỚI
$20,517 KL.
MỚI
$20,517 KL.
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
$501 KL.
<1%
22°C
$561 KL.
<1%
23°C
$521 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,448 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,467 KL.
5%
26°C
$3,897 KL.
16%
27°C
$2,760 KL.
54%
28°C
$4,544 KL.
28%
29°C
$2,737 KL.
5%
30°C
$1,341 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$737 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance projecting a minimum near 27°C for August 7, consistent with the 54% implied probability on that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions—elevated humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover or showers, and seasonal averages of 26–28°C—anchor the distribution, with 28°C and 26°C sharing the next tiers. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, amid a long-term warming trend, supports limited downside risk below 26°C. Short-term forecasts indicating showers on the 7th further constrain cooling potential, while any unexpected clear-sky window could allow a dip toward 26°C. Resolution hinges on the official verified low from the Observatory’s network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,517Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance projecting a minimum near 27°C for August 7, consistent with the 54% implied probability on that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions—elevated humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover or showers, and seasonal averages of 26–28°C—anchor the distribution, with 28°C and 26°C sharing the next tiers. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, amid a long-term warming trend, supports limited downside risk below 26°C. Short-term forecasts indicating showers on the 7th further constrain cooling potential, while any unexpected clear-sky window could allow a dip toward 26°C. Resolution hinges on the official verified low from the Observatory’s network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$20,517Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance projecting a minimum near 27°C for August 7, consistent with the 54% implied probability on that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions—elevated humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover or showers, and seasonal averages of 26–28°C—anchor the distribution, with 28°C and 26°C sharing the next tiers. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, amid a long-term warming trend, supports limited downside risk below 26°C. Short-term forecasts indicating showers on the 7th further constrain cooling potential, while any unexpected clear-sky window could allow a dip toward 26°C. Resolution hinges on the official verified low from the Observatory’s network.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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