Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum of 27–28°C on August 25, driven by persistent south to southwesterly flow, high humidity above 80%, and widespread cloud cover with showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Multiple models show overnight readings holding near 27°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, consistent with typical late-August climatology where urban heat and moisture prevent deeper drops. Recent tropical cyclone activity nearby has sustained moist southwesterly winds without introducing cooler air masses, keeping trader consensus heavily weighted toward 27–28°C outcomes. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine any shifts in timing or intensity of showers affecting the daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
28°C 42%
27°C 31%
26°C 15%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
15%
27°C
31%
28°C
42%
29°C
11%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
27°C 31%
26°C 15%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
15%
27°C
31%
28°C
42%
29°C
11%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum of 27–28°C on August 25, driven by persistent south to southwesterly flow, high humidity above 80%, and widespread cloud cover with showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Multiple models show overnight readings holding near 27°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, consistent with typical late-August climatology where urban heat and moisture prevent deeper drops. Recent tropical cyclone activity nearby has sustained moist southwesterly winds without introducing cooler air masses, keeping trader consensus heavily weighted toward 27–28°C outcomes. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine any shifts in timing or intensity of showers affecting the daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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