Heavy monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon (habagat) are the main drivers keeping Manila's expected maximum temperature on August 26 clustered around 30–32 °C. Official PAGASA outlooks point to 29–31 °C with 60–90 % rain chances, while longer-range guidance shows modest model spread on shower timing and intensity that could allow brief periods of stronger insolation. Historical August averages near 31 °C provide context, but persistent convective activity typically caps peaks below clear-sky potential. The tight market distribution across 30–32 °C reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes pending the next model updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 26?
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
12%
34°C
8%
35°C
9%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
12%
34°C
8%
35°C
9%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Heavy monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon (habagat) are the main drivers keeping Manila's expected maximum temperature on August 26 clustered around 30–32 °C. Official PAGASA outlooks point to 29–31 °C with 60–90 % rain chances, while longer-range guidance shows modest model spread on shower timing and intensity that could allow brief periods of stronger insolation. Historical August averages near 31 °C provide context, but persistent convective activity typically caps peaks below clear-sky potential. The tight market distribution across 30–32 °C reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes pending the next model updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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