Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 24, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate southwesterly flow, and periods of rain that limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Late-August climatology in the region features high humidity and frequent convective activity under monsoon influences, keeping highs near seasonal averages rather than allowing stronger diurnal warming. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because short-term forecast adjustments—such as timing of heaviest precipitation or boundary-layer moisture—can shift the peak by 1°C, while historical analogs from similar synoptic setups rarely exceed 33°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
31°C 30%
32°C 26%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
MỚI
$12,955 KL.
MỚI
$12,955 KL.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
26%
33°C
14%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 30%
32°C 26%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
MỚI
$12,955 KL.
MỚI
$12,955 KL.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$384 KL.
<1%
26°C
$412 KL.
<1%
27°C
$636 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,301 KL.
4%
29°C
$1,064 KL.
10%
30°C
$2,615 KL.
15%
31°C
$3,023 KL.
30%
32°C
$904 KL.
26%
33°C
$1,035 KL.
14%
34°C
$840 KL.
6%
35°C or higher
$745 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 24, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate southwesterly flow, and periods of rain that limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Late-August climatology in the region features high humidity and frequent convective activity under monsoon influences, keeping highs near seasonal averages rather than allowing stronger diurnal warming. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because short-term forecast adjustments—such as timing of heaviest precipitation or boundary-layer moisture—can shift the peak by 1°C, while historical analogs from similar synoptic setups rarely exceed 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,955Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 24, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate southwesterly flow, and periods of rain that limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Late-August climatology in the region features high humidity and frequent convective activity under monsoon influences, keeping highs near seasonal averages rather than allowing stronger diurnal warming. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because short-term forecast adjustments—such as timing of heaviest precipitation or boundary-layer moisture—can shift the peak by 1°C, while historical analogs from similar synoptic setups rarely exceed 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,955Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 24, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate southwesterly flow, and periods of rain that limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Late-August climatology in the region features high humidity and frequent convective activity under monsoon influences, keeping highs near seasonal averages rather than allowing stronger diurnal warming. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because short-term forecast adjustments—such as timing of heaviest precipitation or boundary-layer moisture—can shift the peak by 1°C, while historical analogs from similar synoptic setups rarely exceed 33°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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