Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 28°C on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light southwest winds, and no significant cooling advection. This aligns with climatological August overnight lows averaging 26–28°C and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this strong observational baseline from official monitoring networks, though modest uncertainty remains if heavier rainfall or localized urban effects alter the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated forecast runs or final observatory readings near resolution could still shift odds marginally.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
28°C 99%
27°C 2%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,608 KL.
$21,608 KL.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99%
27°C 2%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,608 KL.
$21,608 KL.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$120 KL.
<1%
22°C
$120 KL.
<1%
23°C
$210 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,510 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,856 KL.
<1%
26°C
$2,271 KL.
1%
27°C
$3,597 KL.
2%
28°C
$6,009 KL.
99%
29°C
$5,660 KL.
<1%
30°C
$125 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$130 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 28°C on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light southwest winds, and no significant cooling advection. This aligns with climatological August overnight lows averaging 26–28°C and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this strong observational baseline from official monitoring networks, though modest uncertainty remains if heavier rainfall or localized urban effects alter the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated forecast runs or final observatory readings near resolution could still shift odds marginally.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,608Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 28°C on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light southwest winds, and no significant cooling advection. This aligns with climatological August overnight lows averaging 26–28°C and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this strong observational baseline from official monitoring networks, though modest uncertainty remains if heavier rainfall or localized urban effects alter the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated forecast runs or final observatory readings near resolution could still shift odds marginally.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$21,608Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 28°C on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light southwest winds, and no significant cooling advection. This aligns with climatological August overnight lows averaging 26–28°C and recent model consensus showing limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 28°C reflects this strong observational baseline from official monitoring networks, though modest uncertainty remains if heavier rainfall or localized urban effects alter the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated forecast runs or final observatory readings near resolution could still shift odds marginally.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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