Current forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate sunny skies and light easterly winds over Milan on August 9, supporting maximum temperatures near 35°C (95°F), which aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities around 34–35°C. This reflects typical late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, where high pressure promotes clear skies and strong daytime solar heating, though model consensus shows modest spread due to potential for slight variations in cloud cover or advection. Historical August averages hover near 28–31°C, so the warmer outlook stems from recent persistent anticyclonic patterns rather than extreme heatwave signals. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily, with resolution hinging on verified station readings amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 9?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 9?
34°C 56%
35°C 25%
33°C 16%
36°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
16%
34°C
56%
35°C
25%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 56%
35°C 25%
33°C 16%
36°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
30°C or below
$206 KL.
1%
31°C
$217 KL.
2%
32°C
$371 KL.
2%
33°C
$1,177 KL.
16%
34°C
$818 KL.
56%
35°C
$673 KL.
25%
36°C
$249 KL.
5%
37°C
$74 KL.
1%
38°C
$200 KL.
1%
39°C
$243 KL.
<1%
40°C or higher
$301 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate sunny skies and light easterly winds over Milan on August 9, supporting maximum temperatures near 35°C (95°F), which aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities around 34–35°C. This reflects typical late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, where high pressure promotes clear skies and strong daytime solar heating, though model consensus shows modest spread due to potential for slight variations in cloud cover or advection. Historical August averages hover near 28–31°C, so the warmer outlook stems from recent persistent anticyclonic patterns rather than extreme heatwave signals. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily, with resolution hinging on verified station readings amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,527Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate sunny skies and light easterly winds over Milan on August 9, supporting maximum temperatures near 35°C (95°F), which aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities around 34–35°C. This reflects typical late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, where high pressure promotes clear skies and strong daytime solar heating, though model consensus shows modest spread due to potential for slight variations in cloud cover or advection. Historical August averages hover near 28–31°C, so the warmer outlook stems from recent persistent anticyclonic patterns rather than extreme heatwave signals. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily, with resolution hinging on verified station readings amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,527Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate sunny skies and light easterly winds over Milan on August 9, supporting maximum temperatures near 35°C (95°F), which aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities around 34–35°C. This reflects typical late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, where high pressure promotes clear skies and strong daytime solar heating, though model consensus shows modest spread due to potential for slight variations in cloud cover or advection. Historical August averages hover near 28–31°C, so the warmer outlook stems from recent persistent anticyclonic patterns rather than extreme heatwave signals. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily, with resolution hinging on verified station readings amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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