Current forecast model consensus from the National Weather Service and major ensembles points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for New York City on August 9, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup keeps minimum temperatures above seasonal averages around 70°F, with urban heat island effects in Central Park adding 1–3°F. The tight spread between 76–77°F and 78–79°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day shower timing, while lower bins remain improbable without an unexpected cold front. Traders are monitoring the next 00Z and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of the calendar-day minimum resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 9?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 9?
76-77°F 35%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 35%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
65°F or below
$10 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$10 KL.
1%
68-69°F
$10 KL.
1%
70-71°F
$12 KL.
3%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
6%
74-75°F
$1 KL.
13%
76-77°F
$12 KL.
35%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
28%
80-81°F
$9 KL.
11%
82-83°F
$117 KL.
5%
84°F or higher
$10 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast model consensus from the National Weather Service and major ensembles points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for New York City on August 9, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup keeps minimum temperatures above seasonal averages around 70°F, with urban heat island effects in Central Park adding 1–3°F. The tight spread between 76–77°F and 78–79°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day shower timing, while lower bins remain improbable without an unexpected cold front. Traders are monitoring the next 00Z and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of the calendar-day minimum resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$191Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast model consensus from the National Weather Service and major ensembles points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for New York City on August 9, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup keeps minimum temperatures above seasonal averages around 70°F, with urban heat island effects in Central Park adding 1–3°F. The tight spread between 76–77°F and 78–79°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day shower timing, while lower bins remain improbable without an unexpected cold front. Traders are monitoring the next 00Z and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of the calendar-day minimum resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$191Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast model consensus from the National Weather Service and major ensembles points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for New York City on August 9, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup keeps minimum temperatures above seasonal averages around 70°F, with urban heat island effects in Central Park adding 1–3°F. The tight spread between 76–77°F and 78–79°F outcomes reflects minor divergences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day shower timing, while lower bins remain improbable without an unexpected cold front. Traders are monitoring the next 00Z and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of the calendar-day minimum resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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