Recent forecast updates show a notable cooling trend for Shanghai on August 9 driven by increased cloud cover, overcast conditions, and elevated precipitation chances from an approaching weather system, which limits solar heating and supports daily maxima around 28–30°C. This aligns with model consensus from extended outlooks indicating highs near 28°C (82°F) amid flash flood risks, contrasting with hotter preceding days and typical August climatology of 31–32°C averages under clearer subtropical conditions. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 29°C and 30°C as these reflect the current blend of observational trends and ensemble guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes pending any late adjustments in steering patterns or humidity levels. Further official updates from monitoring agencies could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
29°C 43%
30°C 31%
28°C 13%
31°C 11%
MỚI
$16,427 KL.
MỚI
$16,427 KL.
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
43%
30°C
31%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
30°C 31%
28°C 13%
31°C 11%
MỚI
$16,427 KL.
MỚI
$16,427 KL.
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
$5,578 KL.
1%
25°C
$3,536 KL.
1%
26°C
$551 KL.
5%
27°C
$997 KL.
4%
28°C
$902 KL.
13%
29°C
$2,446 KL.
43%
30°C
$2,172 KL.
31%
31°C
$1,043 KL.
11%
32°C
$155 KL.
2%
33°C
$193 KL.
1%
34°C or higher
$202 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates show a notable cooling trend for Shanghai on August 9 driven by increased cloud cover, overcast conditions, and elevated precipitation chances from an approaching weather system, which limits solar heating and supports daily maxima around 28–30°C. This aligns with model consensus from extended outlooks indicating highs near 28°C (82°F) amid flash flood risks, contrasting with hotter preceding days and typical August climatology of 31–32°C averages under clearer subtropical conditions. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 29°C and 30°C as these reflect the current blend of observational trends and ensemble guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes pending any late adjustments in steering patterns or humidity levels. Further official updates from monitoring agencies could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,427Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates show a notable cooling trend for Shanghai on August 9 driven by increased cloud cover, overcast conditions, and elevated precipitation chances from an approaching weather system, which limits solar heating and supports daily maxima around 28–30°C. This aligns with model consensus from extended outlooks indicating highs near 28°C (82°F) amid flash flood risks, contrasting with hotter preceding days and typical August climatology of 31–32°C averages under clearer subtropical conditions. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 29°C and 30°C as these reflect the current blend of observational trends and ensemble guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes pending any late adjustments in steering patterns or humidity levels. Further official updates from monitoring agencies could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$16,427Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates show a notable cooling trend for Shanghai on August 9 driven by increased cloud cover, overcast conditions, and elevated precipitation chances from an approaching weather system, which limits solar heating and supports daily maxima around 28–30°C. This aligns with model consensus from extended outlooks indicating highs near 28°C (82°F) amid flash flood risks, contrasting with hotter preceding days and typical August climatology of 31–32°C averages under clearer subtropical conditions. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 29°C and 30°C as these reflect the current blend of observational trends and ensemble guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes pending any late adjustments in steering patterns or humidity levels. Further official updates from monitoring agencies could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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