Current National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area point to a high near 72–75°F on August 9, aligning with the market’s strong 56% implied probability for 75°F or below. Persistent marine-layer stratus, cold-water upwelling along the coast, and prevailing onshore flow from the Pacific typically suppress daytime maxima in this range during August, when climatological averages hover near 70°F. Recent model runs show minimal warming signals, with no significant offshore flow or heat advection expected to push readings into the upper 70s or beyond. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics heavily against the small chance of localized clearing that could briefly elevate temperatures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 9?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 9?
75°F or below 56%
76-77°F 22%
78-79°F 15%
80-81°F 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
75°F or below
56%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
75°F or below 56%
76-77°F 22%
78-79°F 15%
80-81°F 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
75°F or below
$1,371 KL.
56%
76-77°F
$363 KL.
22%
78-79°F
$382 KL.
15%
80-81°F
$528 KL.
7%
82-83°F
$378 KL.
3%
84-85°F
$133 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$242 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$246 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$261 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$304 KL.
<1%
94°F or higher
$364 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area point to a high near 72–75°F on August 9, aligning with the market’s strong 56% implied probability for 75°F or below. Persistent marine-layer stratus, cold-water upwelling along the coast, and prevailing onshore flow from the Pacific typically suppress daytime maxima in this range during August, when climatological averages hover near 70°F. Recent model runs show minimal warming signals, with no significant offshore flow or heat advection expected to push readings into the upper 70s or beyond. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics heavily against the small chance of localized clearing that could briefly elevate temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,569Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area point to a high near 72–75°F on August 9, aligning with the market’s strong 56% implied probability for 75°F or below. Persistent marine-layer stratus, cold-water upwelling along the coast, and prevailing onshore flow from the Pacific typically suppress daytime maxima in this range during August, when climatological averages hover near 70°F. Recent model runs show minimal warming signals, with no significant offshore flow or heat advection expected to push readings into the upper 70s or beyond. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics heavily against the small chance of localized clearing that could briefly elevate temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,569Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area point to a high near 72–75°F on August 9, aligning with the market’s strong 56% implied probability for 75°F or below. Persistent marine-layer stratus, cold-water upwelling along the coast, and prevailing onshore flow from the Pacific typically suppress daytime maxima in this range during August, when climatological averages hover near 70°F. Recent model runs show minimal warming signals, with no significant offshore flow or heat advection expected to push readings into the upper 70s or beyond. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics heavily against the small chance of localized clearing that could briefly elevate temperatures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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