Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters and the ongoing rainy season drive the market's concentration around 23–25°C for the August 9 daily high. Afternoon convective clouds and showers typical of the monsoon pattern frequently cap peak temperatures by reducing solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus and climatological baselines show average August highs near 24°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent major frontal systems or unusual subsidence. Traders appear to weigh the likelihood of scattered precipitation moderating the maximum against the smaller chance of clearer skies allowing a brief spike to 25°C, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range given historical August observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 9?
24°C 40%
25°C 26%
23°C 25%
22°C 8%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
25%
24°C
40%
25°C
26%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 40%
25°C 26%
23°C 25%
22°C 8%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
25%
24°C
40%
25°C
26%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters and the ongoing rainy season drive the market's concentration around 23–25°C for the August 9 daily high. Afternoon convective clouds and showers typical of the monsoon pattern frequently cap peak temperatures by reducing solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus and climatological baselines show average August highs near 24°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent major frontal systems or unusual subsidence. Traders appear to weigh the likelihood of scattered precipitation moderating the maximum against the smaller chance of clearer skies allowing a brief spike to 25°C, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range given historical August observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp