Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) for the Valle de México on August 8 point to maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25 °C and climatological August highs near 24 °C. Afternoon convective showers and variable cloud cover, typical of the summer rainy season, introduce uncertainty in peak heating, while the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and urban heat-island effects modulate observed readings. An ongoing El Niño episode supports slightly above-average warmth across central Mexico, yet short-term steering patterns and timing of precipitation remain the dominant variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore weigh the latest model guidance and real-time observations against historical variability when assigning probabilities within this narrow band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 8?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 8?
24°C 41%
23°C 32%
25°C 20%
22°C 5%
MỚI
$10,865 KL.
MỚI
$10,865 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
32%
24°C
41%
25°C
20%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 41%
23°C 32%
25°C 20%
22°C 5%
MỚI
$10,865 KL.
MỚI
$10,865 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
18°C or below
$784 KL.
<1%
19°C
$1,791 KL.
<1%
20°C
$548 KL.
<1%
21°C
$498 KL.
1%
22°C
$847 KL.
5%
23°C
$1,196 KL.
32%
24°C
$1,013 KL.
41%
25°C
$1,464 KL.
20%
26°C
$1,875 KL.
4%
27°C
$337 KL.
1%
28°C or higher
$512 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) for the Valle de México on August 8 point to maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25 °C and climatological August highs near 24 °C. Afternoon convective showers and variable cloud cover, typical of the summer rainy season, introduce uncertainty in peak heating, while the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and urban heat-island effects modulate observed readings. An ongoing El Niño episode supports slightly above-average warmth across central Mexico, yet short-term steering patterns and timing of precipitation remain the dominant variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore weigh the latest model guidance and real-time observations against historical variability when assigning probabilities within this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,865Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) for the Valle de México on August 8 point to maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25 °C and climatological August highs near 24 °C. Afternoon convective showers and variable cloud cover, typical of the summer rainy season, introduce uncertainty in peak heating, while the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and urban heat-island effects modulate observed readings. An ongoing El Niño episode supports slightly above-average warmth across central Mexico, yet short-term steering patterns and timing of precipitation remain the dominant variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore weigh the latest model guidance and real-time observations against historical variability when assigning probabilities within this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,865Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) for the Valle de México on August 8 point to maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25 °C and climatological August highs near 24 °C. Afternoon convective showers and variable cloud cover, typical of the summer rainy season, introduce uncertainty in peak heating, while the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and urban heat-island effects modulate observed readings. An ongoing El Niño episode supports slightly above-average warmth across central Mexico, yet short-term steering patterns and timing of precipitation remain the dominant variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore weigh the latest model guidance and real-time observations against historical variability when assigning probabilities within this narrow band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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