Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting model guidance from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s daytime maximum at 21°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and moderate southwest winds. These conditions reflect a stable maritime air mass that limits diurnal warming, keeping afternoon readings near the seasonal late-August average of roughly 20°C. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or localized warm advection could push readings to 22°C or higher, while persistent heavier rain would more likely cap the peak below the threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
21°C 96%
22°C 2%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
$37,755 KL.
$37,755 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
96%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 96%
22°C 2%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
$37,755 KL.
$37,755 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$1,177 KL.
<1%
17°C
$119 KL.
<1%
18°C
$952 KL.
<1%
19°C
$3,352 KL.
<1%
20°C
$7,965 KL.
<1%
21°C
$9,843 KL.
96%
22°C
$7,792 KL.
2%
23°C
$5,284 KL.
<1%
24°C
$760 KL.
<1%
25°C
$115 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$396 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting model guidance from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s daytime maximum at 21°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and moderate southwest winds. These conditions reflect a stable maritime air mass that limits diurnal warming, keeping afternoon readings near the seasonal late-August average of roughly 20°C. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or localized warm advection could push readings to 22°C or higher, while persistent heavier rain would more likely cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$37,755Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting model guidance from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s daytime maximum at 21°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and moderate southwest winds. These conditions reflect a stable maritime air mass that limits diurnal warming, keeping afternoon readings near the seasonal late-August average of roughly 20°C. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or localized warm advection could push readings to 22°C or higher, while persistent heavier rain would more likely cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$37,755Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting model guidance from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s daytime maximum at 21°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and moderate southwest winds. These conditions reflect a stable maritime air mass that limits diurnal warming, keeping afternoon readings near the seasonal late-August average of roughly 20°C. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or localized warm advection could push readings to 22°C or higher, while persistent heavier rain would more likely cap the peak below the threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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