Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow advecting mild, humid maritime air are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Amsterdam, with forecast minimums clustered near 15–16 °C. High dew points near 14–15 °C and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h further reduce the diurnal temperature range by inhibiting clear-sky heat loss. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around these values, producing closely matched market-implied odds for 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C. Small differences among those bins hinge on exact timing of any wind shift or shower intensity during the 03–08 local time window when the daily minimum typically occurs. Historical late-August averages are several degrees cooler, but the current synoptic pattern favors the milder outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31?
14°C 27%
16°C 27%
15°C 26%
17°C 24%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
7%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
24%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 27%
16°C 27%
15°C 26%
17°C 24%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
$5 KL.
<1%
12°C
$100 KL.
<1%
13°C
$0 KL.
7%
14°C
$0 KL.
27%
15°C
$0 KL.
26%
16°C
$0 KL.
27%
17°C
$0 KL.
24%
18°C
$0 KL.
3%
19°C
$5 KL.
<1%
20°C
$5 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$5 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow advecting mild, humid maritime air are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Amsterdam, with forecast minimums clustered near 15–16 °C. High dew points near 14–15 °C and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h further reduce the diurnal temperature range by inhibiting clear-sky heat loss. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around these values, producing closely matched market-implied odds for 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C. Small differences among those bins hinge on exact timing of any wind shift or shower intensity during the 03–08 local time window when the daily minimum typically occurs. Historical late-August averages are several degrees cooler, but the current synoptic pattern favors the milder outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$120Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow advecting mild, humid maritime air are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Amsterdam, with forecast minimums clustered near 15–16 °C. High dew points near 14–15 °C and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h further reduce the diurnal temperature range by inhibiting clear-sky heat loss. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around these values, producing closely matched market-implied odds for 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C. Small differences among those bins hinge on exact timing of any wind shift or shower intensity during the 03–08 local time window when the daily minimum typically occurs. Historical late-August averages are several degrees cooler, but the current synoptic pattern favors the milder outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$120Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow advecting mild, humid maritime air are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Amsterdam, with forecast minimums clustered near 15–16 °C. High dew points near 14–15 °C and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h further reduce the diurnal temperature range by inhibiting clear-sky heat loss. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around these values, producing closely matched market-implied odds for 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C. Small differences among those bins hinge on exact timing of any wind shift or shower intensity during the 03–08 local time window when the daily minimum typically occurs. Historical late-August averages are several degrees cooler, but the current synoptic pattern favors the milder outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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