The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 2nd congressional district, where Donald Trump carried 60.8% in the prior cycle and the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage for the GOP, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Steve Toth secured the nomination in the March 3, 2026 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Dan Crenshaw, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed on the other side. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited polling and fundraising data have shown no significant erosion of the district's structural Republican advantage. This produces an 86% implied probability for the Republican outcome, reflecting the limited path for a Democratic flip absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-02 House Election Winner
TX-02 House Election Winner
$11,992 Обс.
$11,992 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
12%
$11,992 Обс.
$11,992 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,149 Обс.
86%
Democratic Party
$5,842 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 2nd congressional district, where Donald Trump carried 60.8% in the prior cycle and the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage for the GOP, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Steve Toth secured the nomination in the March 3, 2026 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Dan Crenshaw, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed on the other side. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited polling and fundraising data have shown no significant erosion of the district's structural Republican advantage. This produces an 86% implied probability for the Republican outcome, reflecting the limited path for a Democratic flip absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,992Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 2nd congressional district, where Donald Trump carried 60.8% in the prior cycle and the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage for the GOP, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Steve Toth secured the nomination in the March 3, 2026 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Dan Crenshaw, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed on the other side. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited polling and fundraising data have shown no significant erosion of the district's structural Republican advantage. This produces an 86% implied probability for the Republican outcome, reflecting the limited path for a Democratic flip absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$11,992Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 2nd congressional district, where Donald Trump carried 60.8% in the prior cycle and the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage for the GOP, drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Steve Toth secured the nomination in the March 3, 2026 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Dan Crenshaw, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed on the other side. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited polling and fundraising data have shown no significant erosion of the district's structural Republican advantage. This produces an 86% implied probability for the Republican outcome, reflecting the limited path for a Democratic flip absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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