Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties, holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd District heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s modest Republican registration advantage and Van Drew’s 2024 reelection margin support his strong positioning after cruising through an unopposed primary. Democratic nominee Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor, emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a South Jersey seat that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Trader pricing at 81.5% Republican reflects these fundamentals, including limited recent polling shifts or campaign developments that would alter the outlook before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-02 House Election Winner
$24,196 Обс.
$24,196 Обс.
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
15%
$24,196 Обс.
$24,196 Обс.
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties, holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd District heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s modest Republican registration advantage and Van Drew’s 2024 reelection margin support his strong positioning after cruising through an unopposed primary. Democratic nominee Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor, emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a South Jersey seat that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Trader pricing at 81.5% Republican reflects these fundamentals, including limited recent polling shifts or campaign developments that would alter the outlook before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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