Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district due to the seat's deep Democratic lean in the Philadelphia area, his long tenure since 2015, and established fundraising and organizational strength. The Republican nominee, Jessica Arriaga, has raised minimal funds and lacks comparable name recognition or infrastructure ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for Democrats. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited but might include a major scandal involving Boyle, a significant health event, or an unforeseen national political shift that boosts Republican turnout in this low-competition environment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-02 House Election Winner
PA-02 House Election Winner
$30,381 Обс.
$30,381 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$30,381 Обс.
$30,381 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,352 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$24,029 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district due to the seat's deep Democratic lean in the Philadelphia area, his long tenure since 2015, and established fundraising and organizational strength. The Republican nominee, Jessica Arriaga, has raised minimal funds and lacks comparable name recognition or infrastructure ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for Democrats. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited but might include a major scandal involving Boyle, a significant health event, or an unforeseen national political shift that boosts Republican turnout in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,381Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district due to the seat's deep Democratic lean in the Philadelphia area, his long tenure since 2015, and established fundraising and organizational strength. The Republican nominee, Jessica Arriaga, has raised minimal funds and lacks comparable name recognition or infrastructure ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for Democrats. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited but might include a major scandal involving Boyle, a significant health event, or an unforeseen national political shift that boosts Republican turnout in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$30,381Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district due to the seat's deep Democratic lean in the Philadelphia area, his long tenure since 2015, and established fundraising and organizational strength. The Republican nominee, Jessica Arriaga, has raised minimal funds and lacks comparable name recognition or infrastructure ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for Democrats. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited but might include a major scandal involving Boyle, a significant health event, or an unforeseen national political shift that boosts Republican turnout in this low-competition environment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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