Republican Cory Mills, the incumbent seeking re-election in Florida's 7th congressional district, holds a clear edge in the 2026 general election, consistent with the market's 67.5% implied probability for the Republican Party. The district's Republican tilt, reinforced by post-2020 redistricting and Mills' 56.5% victory in 2024, underpins this positioning, alongside nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. Recent primary polling from early August shows Mills leading challengers Ryan Elijah and others ahead of the August 18 Republican primary. On the Democratic side, a contested primary among candidates including Bale Dalton and Alan Grayson precedes a general-election matchup against the nominee. Traders appear to weigh incumbency, fundraising, and historical voting patterns as key stabilizers, with limited late-cycle shifts evident in available data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-07 House Election Winner
FL-07 House Election Winner
$18,155 Обс.
$18,155 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
33%
$18,155 Обс.
$18,155 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,260 Обс.
68%
Democratic Party
$7,895 Обс.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Cory Mills, the incumbent seeking re-election in Florida's 7th congressional district, holds a clear edge in the 2026 general election, consistent with the market's 67.5% implied probability for the Republican Party. The district's Republican tilt, reinforced by post-2020 redistricting and Mills' 56.5% victory in 2024, underpins this positioning, alongside nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. Recent primary polling from early August shows Mills leading challengers Ryan Elijah and others ahead of the August 18 Republican primary. On the Democratic side, a contested primary among candidates including Bale Dalton and Alan Grayson precedes a general-election matchup against the nominee. Traders appear to weigh incumbency, fundraising, and historical voting patterns as key stabilizers, with limited late-cycle shifts evident in available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,155Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Cory Mills, the incumbent seeking re-election in Florida's 7th congressional district, holds a clear edge in the 2026 general election, consistent with the market's 67.5% implied probability for the Republican Party. The district's Republican tilt, reinforced by post-2020 redistricting and Mills' 56.5% victory in 2024, underpins this positioning, alongside nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. Recent primary polling from early August shows Mills leading challengers Ryan Elijah and others ahead of the August 18 Republican primary. On the Democratic side, a contested primary among candidates including Bale Dalton and Alan Grayson precedes a general-election matchup against the nominee. Traders appear to weigh incumbency, fundraising, and historical voting patterns as key stabilizers, with limited late-cycle shifts evident in available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,155Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Cory Mills, the incumbent seeking re-election in Florida's 7th congressional district, holds a clear edge in the 2026 general election, consistent with the market's 67.5% implied probability for the Republican Party. The district's Republican tilt, reinforced by post-2020 redistricting and Mills' 56.5% victory in 2024, underpins this positioning, alongside nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. Recent primary polling from early August shows Mills leading challengers Ryan Elijah and others ahead of the August 18 Republican primary. On the Democratic side, a contested primary among candidates including Bale Dalton and Alan Grayson precedes a general-election matchup against the nominee. Traders appear to weigh incumbency, fundraising, and historical voting patterns as key stabilizers, with limited late-cycle shifts evident in available data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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