Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district, a central Massachusetts seat anchored around Worcester with a strong Democratic partisan lean. The district’s voting history, including McGovern’s 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points, combined with minimal Republican recruitment and filing activity ahead of the September 2026 primaries, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Limited GOP infrastructure in the state and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this outlook. A realistic shift would require a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district’s structural Democratic advantage before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$49,803 Обс.
$49,803 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$49,803 Обс.
$49,803 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$32,718 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$17,085 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district, a central Massachusetts seat anchored around Worcester with a strong Democratic partisan lean. The district’s voting history, including McGovern’s 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points, combined with minimal Republican recruitment and filing activity ahead of the September 2026 primaries, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Limited GOP infrastructure in the state and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this outlook. A realistic shift would require a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district’s structural Democratic advantage before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$49,803Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district, a central Massachusetts seat anchored around Worcester with a strong Democratic partisan lean. The district’s voting history, including McGovern’s 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points, combined with minimal Republican recruitment and filing activity ahead of the September 2026 primaries, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Limited GOP infrastructure in the state and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this outlook. A realistic shift would require a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district’s structural Democratic advantage before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$49,803Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district, a central Massachusetts seat anchored around Worcester with a strong Democratic partisan lean. The district’s voting history, including McGovern’s 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points, combined with minimal Republican recruitment and filing activity ahead of the September 2026 primaries, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Limited GOP infrastructure in the state and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce this outlook. A realistic shift would require a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district’s structural Democratic advantage before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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