Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeks a second term against Democratic nominee William Lawrence following the August 4 primaries. Lawrence secured the nomination with roughly 43 percent in a three-way contest featuring national-security-focused rivals, positioning him to challenge Barrett's 2024 victory in the open seat. Recent trader consensus at 62 percent for Democrats reflects the district's underlying lean in a midterm cycle, historical turnout patterns favoring the opposition party, and the general election matchup in a battleground state. Limited post-primary polling leaves room for shifts ahead of the November 3 vote, with factors such as campaign fundraising, voter mobilization in Ingham County, and national political conditions likely to influence final margins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
$17,127 Обс.
$17,127 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
36%
$17,127 Обс.
$17,127 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,746 Обс.
62%
Republican Party
$5,381 Обс.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeks a second term against Democratic nominee William Lawrence following the August 4 primaries. Lawrence secured the nomination with roughly 43 percent in a three-way contest featuring national-security-focused rivals, positioning him to challenge Barrett's 2024 victory in the open seat. Recent trader consensus at 62 percent for Democrats reflects the district's underlying lean in a midterm cycle, historical turnout patterns favoring the opposition party, and the general election matchup in a battleground state. Limited post-primary polling leaves room for shifts ahead of the November 3 vote, with factors such as campaign fundraising, voter mobilization in Ingham County, and national political conditions likely to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$17,127Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeks a second term against Democratic nominee William Lawrence following the August 4 primaries. Lawrence secured the nomination with roughly 43 percent in a three-way contest featuring national-security-focused rivals, positioning him to challenge Barrett's 2024 victory in the open seat. Recent trader consensus at 62 percent for Democrats reflects the district's underlying lean in a midterm cycle, historical turnout patterns favoring the opposition party, and the general election matchup in a battleground state. Limited post-primary polling leaves room for shifts ahead of the November 3 vote, with factors such as campaign fundraising, voter mobilization in Ingham County, and national political conditions likely to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$17,127Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeks a second term against Democratic nominee William Lawrence following the August 4 primaries. Lawrence secured the nomination with roughly 43 percent in a three-way contest featuring national-security-focused rivals, positioning him to challenge Barrett's 2024 victory in the open seat. Recent trader consensus at 62 percent for Democrats reflects the district's underlying lean in a midterm cycle, historical turnout patterns favoring the opposition party, and the general election matchup in a battleground state. Limited post-primary polling leaves room for shifts ahead of the November 3 vote, with factors such as campaign fundraising, voter mobilization in Ingham County, and national political conditions likely to influence final margins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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