Latest forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to overnight lows of 8–10°C in Wellington on September 1 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to calmer nights while preventing significant advection of colder southern air. Trader positioning clusters around 6–9°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, or wind gusts can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 7°C, providing context for the current implied probabilities amid typical spring variability and model uncertainty this close to the date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 1?
12°C or higher 69%
7°C 28%
8°C 27%
5°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
2°C or below
2%
3°C
6%
4°C
11%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
28%
8°C
27%
9°C
25%
10°C
5%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
69%
12°C or higher 69%
7°C 28%
8°C 27%
5°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
2°C or below
$150 Обс.
2%
3°C
$130 Обс.
6%
4°C
$0 Обс.
11%
5°C
$0 Обс.
26%
6°C
$0 Обс.
26%
7°C
$0 Обс.
28%
8°C
$0 Обс.
27%
9°C
$0 Обс.
25%
10°C
$0 Обс.
5%
11°C
$10 Обс.
8%
12°C or higher
$10 Обс.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to overnight lows of 8–10°C in Wellington on September 1 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to calmer nights while preventing significant advection of colder southern air. Trader positioning clusters around 6–9°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, or wind gusts can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 7°C, providing context for the current implied probabilities amid typical spring variability and model uncertainty this close to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$300Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to overnight lows of 8–10°C in Wellington on September 1 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to calmer nights while preventing significant advection of colder southern air. Trader positioning clusters around 6–9°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, or wind gusts can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 7°C, providing context for the current implied probabilities amid typical spring variability and model uncertainty this close to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$300Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to overnight lows of 8–10°C in Wellington on September 1 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to calmer nights while preventing significant advection of colder southern air. Trader positioning clusters around 6–9°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, or wind gusts can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 7°C, providing context for the current implied probabilities amid typical spring variability and model uncertainty this close to the date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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