Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable overnight minimum near 17–18°C for Milan on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds around 1–3 m/s, and high pressure near 1020–1023 hPa. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming from cloud cover or advection. Daytime highs reached 25–27°C with low humidity (around 50%), setting up a typical diurnal range of 8–10°C for early September in the Po Valley. Trader consensus heavily favors 17°C (69.5% implied probability) as it aligns with the consensus minimum from official guidance, with lower probabilities on 16°C reflecting minor model spread or slight observational variance at resolution time. No major synoptic changes or heat waves have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Milan on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 13?
16°C 9%
12°C 7%
11°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$3,078 Обс.
$3,078 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
-
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 9%
12°C 7%
11°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$3,078 Обс.
$3,078 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
11°C or below
$75 Обс.
1%
12°C
$30 Обс.
7%
13°C
$152 Обс.
1%
14°C
$150 Обс.
1%
15°C
$102 Обс.
1%
16°C
$151 Обс.
9%
17°C
$392 Обс.
-
18°C
$297 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,699 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable overnight minimum near 17–18°C for Milan on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds around 1–3 m/s, and high pressure near 1020–1023 hPa. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming from cloud cover or advection. Daytime highs reached 25–27°C with low humidity (around 50%), setting up a typical diurnal range of 8–10°C for early September in the Po Valley. Trader consensus heavily favors 17°C (69.5% implied probability) as it aligns with the consensus minimum from official guidance, with lower probabilities on 16°C reflecting minor model spread or slight observational variance at resolution time. No major synoptic changes or heat waves have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,078Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable overnight minimum near 17–18°C for Milan on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds around 1–3 m/s, and high pressure near 1020–1023 hPa. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming from cloud cover or advection. Daytime highs reached 25–27°C with low humidity (around 50%), setting up a typical diurnal range of 8–10°C for early September in the Po Valley. Trader consensus heavily favors 17°C (69.5% implied probability) as it aligns with the consensus minimum from official guidance, with lower probabilities on 16°C reflecting minor model spread or slight observational variance at resolution time. No major synoptic changes or heat waves have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,078Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable overnight minimum near 17–18°C for Milan on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds around 1–3 m/s, and high pressure near 1020–1023 hPa. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming from cloud cover or advection. Daytime highs reached 25–27°C with low humidity (around 50%), setting up a typical diurnal range of 8–10°C for early September in the Po Valley. Trader consensus heavily favors 17°C (69.5% implied probability) as it aligns with the consensus minimum from official guidance, with lower probabilities on 16°C reflecting minor model spread or slight observational variance at resolution time. No major synoptic changes or heat waves have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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