**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 21–23°C in Munich on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (22°C at 39%, 21°C or below at 28%, 23°C at 22%).** Westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and moderate winds (around 7–10 mph or 3–5 m/s) are limiting surface heating, while light afternoon precipitation chances further cap temperatures near or slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Official forecasts from sources including GFS, ECMWF, DWD, and Yr consistently show afternoon peaks in the low- to mid-20s Celsius range, with current observations already approaching 21°C midday under partly cloudy conditions. Higher outcomes above 24°C carry low market weight because no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup is present to drive greater insolation or warm advection. The market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these model runs and real-time observations, with resolution expected from the official DWD station reading for the day’s highest temperature.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 13?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 13?
22°C 38%
21°C or below 29%
23°C 23%
24°C 8%
$29,291 Обс.
$29,291 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
29%
22°C
38%
23°C
23%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 38%
21°C or below 29%
23°C 23%
24°C 8%
$29,291 Обс.
$29,291 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
$7,976 Обс.
29%
22°C
$2,017 Обс.
38%
23°C
$2,758 Обс.
23%
24°C
$7,132 Обс.
8%
25°C
$2,677 Обс.
2%
26°C
$410 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$868 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,270 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,471 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,527 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,183 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 21–23°C in Munich on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (22°C at 39%, 21°C or below at 28%, 23°C at 22%).** Westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and moderate winds (around 7–10 mph or 3–5 m/s) are limiting surface heating, while light afternoon precipitation chances further cap temperatures near or slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Official forecasts from sources including GFS, ECMWF, DWD, and Yr consistently show afternoon peaks in the low- to mid-20s Celsius range, with current observations already approaching 21°C midday under partly cloudy conditions. Higher outcomes above 24°C carry low market weight because no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup is present to drive greater insolation or warm advection. The market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these model runs and real-time observations, with resolution expected from the official DWD station reading for the day’s highest temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,291Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 21–23°C in Munich on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (22°C at 39%, 21°C or below at 28%, 23°C at 22%).** Westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and moderate winds (around 7–10 mph or 3–5 m/s) are limiting surface heating, while light afternoon precipitation chances further cap temperatures near or slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Official forecasts from sources including GFS, ECMWF, DWD, and Yr consistently show afternoon peaks in the low- to mid-20s Celsius range, with current observations already approaching 21°C midday under partly cloudy conditions. Higher outcomes above 24°C carry low market weight because no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup is present to drive greater insolation or warm advection. The market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these model runs and real-time observations, with resolution expected from the official DWD station reading for the day’s highest temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$29,291Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 21–23°C in Munich on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (22°C at 39%, 21°C or below at 28%, 23°C at 22%).** Westerly flow, mostly cloudy skies, and moderate winds (around 7–10 mph or 3–5 m/s) are limiting surface heating, while light afternoon precipitation chances further cap temperatures near or slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Official forecasts from sources including GFS, ECMWF, DWD, and Yr consistently show afternoon peaks in the low- to mid-20s Celsius range, with current observations already approaching 21°C midday under partly cloudy conditions. Higher outcomes above 24°C carry low market weight because no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup is present to drive greater insolation or warm advection. The market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these model runs and real-time observations, with resolution expected from the official DWD station reading for the day’s highest temperature.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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