Recent forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service and global models point to overnight lows in Munich around 11–13°C on September 14 amid light rain, high humidity near 80–95%, and mostly cloudy skies. These conditions limit radiative cooling under the influence of a passing low-pressure system and westerly flow, supporting the market's clustering of implied probabilities near 12–14°C while the elevated chance assigned to 9°C or below reflects model spread on exact cloud timing and any brief clear spells. Traders weigh ensemble outputs showing modest variability in minimum temperatures against September climatology, where such values align with typical early-autumn patterns but hinge on precise precipitation onset and wind shifts overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 14?
9°C or below 87%
19°C or higher 50%
18°C 39%
16°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
87%
10°C
17%
11°C
19%
12°C
28%
13°C
28%
14°C
29%
15°C
22%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
39%
19°C or higher
50%
9°C or below 87%
19°C or higher 50%
18°C 39%
16°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Обс.
87%
10°C
$0 Обс.
17%
11°C
$0 Обс.
19%
12°C
$0 Обс.
28%
13°C
$4 Обс.
28%
14°C
$0 Обс.
29%
15°C
$0 Обс.
22%
16°C
$0 Обс.
38%
17°C
$0 Обс.
38%
18°C
$0 Обс.
39%
19°C or higher
$0 Обс.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service and global models point to overnight lows in Munich around 11–13°C on September 14 amid light rain, high humidity near 80–95%, and mostly cloudy skies. These conditions limit radiative cooling under the influence of a passing low-pressure system and westerly flow, supporting the market's clustering of implied probabilities near 12–14°C while the elevated chance assigned to 9°C or below reflects model spread on exact cloud timing and any brief clear spells. Traders weigh ensemble outputs showing modest variability in minimum temperatures against September climatology, where such values align with typical early-autumn patterns but hinge on precise precipitation onset and wind shifts overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$4Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service and global models point to overnight lows in Munich around 11–13°C on September 14 amid light rain, high humidity near 80–95%, and mostly cloudy skies. These conditions limit radiative cooling under the influence of a passing low-pressure system and westerly flow, supporting the market's clustering of implied probabilities near 12–14°C while the elevated chance assigned to 9°C or below reflects model spread on exact cloud timing and any brief clear spells. Traders weigh ensemble outputs showing modest variability in minimum temperatures against September climatology, where such values align with typical early-autumn patterns but hinge on precise precipitation onset and wind shifts overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service and global models point to overnight lows in Munich around 11–13°C on September 14 amid light rain, high humidity near 80–95%, and mostly cloudy skies. These conditions limit radiative cooling under the influence of a passing low-pressure system and westerly flow, supporting the market's clustering of implied probabilities near 12–14°C while the elevated chance assigned to 9°C or below reflects model spread on exact cloud timing and any brief clear spells. Traders weigh ensemble outputs showing modest variability in minimum temperatures against September climatology, where such values align with typical early-autumn patterns but hinge on precise precipitation onset and wind shifts overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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