Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 56°F in San Francisco on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the historical average low of 55.9°F and supporting the market's leading 56-57°F outcome at 54% implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight, moderated by the dominant Pacific high-pressure system and minimal marine layer influence, drives this range, while the 25.5% odds on 47°F or below reflect low-probability model outliers or unexpected cloud cover. Stable conditions through the period limit volatility, with traders weighting consensus guidance from agencies like NOAA over historical extremes such as the 50°F record. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 14?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 14?
56-57°F 54%
47°F or below 51%
66°F or higher 51%
54-55°F 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
47°F or below
51%
48-49°F
39%
50-51°F
39%
52-53°F
39%
54-55°F
40%
56-57°F
54%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
39%
66°F or higher
51%
56-57°F 54%
47°F or below 51%
66°F or higher 51%
54-55°F 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
47°F or below
$0 Обс.
51%
48-49°F
$0 Обс.
39%
50-51°F
$0 Обс.
39%
52-53°F
$0 Обс.
39%
54-55°F
$0 Обс.
40%
56-57°F
$121 Обс.
54%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
39%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
39%
66°F or higher
$0 Обс.
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 56°F in San Francisco on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the historical average low of 55.9°F and supporting the market's leading 56-57°F outcome at 54% implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight, moderated by the dominant Pacific high-pressure system and minimal marine layer influence, drives this range, while the 25.5% odds on 47°F or below reflect low-probability model outliers or unexpected cloud cover. Stable conditions through the period limit volatility, with traders weighting consensus guidance from agencies like NOAA over historical extremes such as the 50°F record. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$121Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 56°F in San Francisco on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the historical average low of 55.9°F and supporting the market's leading 56-57°F outcome at 54% implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight, moderated by the dominant Pacific high-pressure system and minimal marine layer influence, drives this range, while the 25.5% odds on 47°F or below reflect low-probability model outliers or unexpected cloud cover. Stable conditions through the period limit volatility, with traders weighting consensus guidance from agencies like NOAA over historical extremes such as the 50°F record. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$121Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 56°F in San Francisco on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the historical average low of 55.9°F and supporting the market's leading 56-57°F outcome at 54% implied probability. Radiative cooling overnight, moderated by the dominant Pacific high-pressure system and minimal marine layer influence, drives this range, while the 25.5% odds on 47°F or below reflect low-probability model outliers or unexpected cloud cover. Stable conditions through the period limit volatility, with traders weighting consensus guidance from agencies like NOAA over historical extremes such as the 50°F record. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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