Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs around 29–30°C. Ensemble model runs show modest spread due to variable boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, with some solutions dipping toward 17°C or lower if winds remain calm and humidity stays moderate. The 50% market-implied odds on 16°C or below reflect trader weighting of these cooler scenarios against the 42.5% on 26°C or higher, which would require stronger warm advection or increased cloud cover limiting nocturnal heat loss. Historical September lows average near 18–22°C, but current high-pressure patterns and low precipitation probability keep short-term guidance stable ahead of the next model cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 14?
16°C or below 100%
26°C or higher 85%
17°C 40%
19°C 39%
16°C or below
100%
17°C
40%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
18%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C or higher
85%
16°C or below 100%
26°C or higher 85%
17°C 40%
19°C 39%
16°C or below
100%
17°C
40%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
18%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs around 29–30°C. Ensemble model runs show modest spread due to variable boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, with some solutions dipping toward 17°C or lower if winds remain calm and humidity stays moderate. The 50% market-implied odds on 16°C or below reflect trader weighting of these cooler scenarios against the 42.5% on 26°C or higher, which would require stronger warm advection or increased cloud cover limiting nocturnal heat loss. Historical September lows average near 18–22°C, but current high-pressure patterns and low precipitation probability keep short-term guidance stable ahead of the next model cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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