Recent forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a daily maximum near 30°C on September 13, 2026, as the leading driver of trader positioning, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability. Persistent easterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorm activity are expected to cap afternoon heating while aligning closely with September's long-term average high of roughly 30°C. Lower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C reflect model spread on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, with official updates from monitoring stations likely to resolve the outcome by evening. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns rarely exceeding 32°C without clearer skies or southerly shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
30°C 43%
29°C 32%
31°C 21%
32°C 6.2%
НОВЕ
$32,820 Обс.
НОВЕ
$32,820 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
32%
30°C
43%
31°C
21%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 32%
31°C 21%
32°C 6.2%
НОВЕ
$32,820 Обс.
НОВЕ
$32,820 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
$538 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,505 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$6,073 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$12,373 Обс.
5%
29°C
$3,038 Обс.
32%
30°C
$941 Обс.
43%
31°C
$4,503 Обс.
21%
32°C
$1,866 Обс.
6%
33°C
$1,179 Обс.
1%
34°C
$652 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$153 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a daily maximum near 30°C on September 13, 2026, as the leading driver of trader positioning, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability. Persistent easterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorm activity are expected to cap afternoon heating while aligning closely with September's long-term average high of roughly 30°C. Lower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C reflect model spread on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, with official updates from monitoring stations likely to resolve the outcome by evening. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns rarely exceeding 32°C without clearer skies or southerly shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,820Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a daily maximum near 30°C on September 13, 2026, as the leading driver of trader positioning, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability. Persistent easterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorm activity are expected to cap afternoon heating while aligning closely with September's long-term average high of roughly 30°C. Lower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C reflect model spread on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, with official updates from monitoring stations likely to resolve the outcome by evening. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns rarely exceeding 32°C without clearer skies or southerly shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$32,820Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a daily maximum near 30°C on September 13, 2026, as the leading driver of trader positioning, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability. Persistent easterly flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered thunderstorm activity are expected to cap afternoon heating while aligning closely with September's long-term average high of roughly 30°C. Lower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C reflect model spread on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, with official updates from monitoring stations likely to resolve the outcome by evening. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns rarely exceeding 32°C without clearer skies or southerly shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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