**Current forecast consensus from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Typical September conditions in Hong Kong feature overnight lows rarely falling below the mid-20s due to the region's subtropical climate and frequent moisture, with official observations often recording values in this narrow band. Recent model runs show limited spread around this level, with any slight cooling offset by easterly flow and dew points remaining elevated near 24–25°C. Traders have assigned the strongest implied probability to 27°C as the day's low, consistent with these atmospheric conditions and the timing of expected minimums before sunrise. Updated official readings or further model guidance on overnight trends could refine this assessment ahead of final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
27°C 72%
26°C 21%
25°C 12%
24°C 6%
$16,095 Обс.
$16,095 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
6%
25°C
12%
26°C
15%
27°C
75%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 72%
26°C 21%
25°C 12%
24°C 6%
$16,095 Обс.
$16,095 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
$739 Обс.
1%
23°C
$1,968 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$2,318 Обс.
6%
25°C
$2,739 Обс.
12%
26°C
$1,972 Обс.
15%
27°C
$5,517 Обс.
75%
28°C
$446 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$164 Обс.
1%
30°C
$77 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$77 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$77 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecast consensus from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Typical September conditions in Hong Kong feature overnight lows rarely falling below the mid-20s due to the region's subtropical climate and frequent moisture, with official observations often recording values in this narrow band. Recent model runs show limited spread around this level, with any slight cooling offset by easterly flow and dew points remaining elevated near 24–25°C. Traders have assigned the strongest implied probability to 27°C as the day's low, consistent with these atmospheric conditions and the timing of expected minimums before sunrise. Updated official readings or further model guidance on overnight trends could refine this assessment ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,095Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecast consensus from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Typical September conditions in Hong Kong feature overnight lows rarely falling below the mid-20s due to the region's subtropical climate and frequent moisture, with official observations often recording values in this narrow band. Recent model runs show limited spread around this level, with any slight cooling offset by easterly flow and dew points remaining elevated near 24–25°C. Traders have assigned the strongest implied probability to 27°C as the day's low, consistent with these atmospheric conditions and the timing of expected minimums before sunrise. Updated official readings or further model guidance on overnight trends could refine this assessment ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$16,095Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Typical September conditions in Hong Kong feature overnight lows rarely falling below the mid-20s due to the region's subtropical climate and frequent moisture, with official observations often recording values in this narrow band. Recent model runs show limited spread around this level, with any slight cooling offset by easterly flow and dew points remaining elevated near 24–25°C. Traders have assigned the strongest implied probability to 27°C as the day's low, consistent with these atmospheric conditions and the timing of expected minimums before sunrise. Updated official readings or further model guidance on overnight trends could refine this assessment ahead of final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання