**Northeast monsoon flow and a lingering cloud band over the northern South China Sea are the main drivers keeping Hong Kong's overnight minimum temperatures clustered around 25–27 °C on September 14.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projects a daily range of 27–31 °C with brief sunshine and isolated showers, consistent with multiple numerical models showing light northeast winds and high humidity that limit strong radiative cooling. Recent dissipation of a tropical cyclone toward Vietnam has allowed the monsoon to strengthen, suppressing extreme warmth while preventing sharp drops below 25 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even odds between 26 °C and 27 °C captures this narrow uncertainty band, with any late-evening shower activity or clearer skies under the building anticyclone the key variables that could shift the realized minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
27°C 36%
26°C 35%
25°C 24%
28°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
24%
26°C
35%
27°C
36%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 36%
26°C 35%
25°C 24%
28°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
$121 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$22 Обс.
1%
23°C
$351 Обс.
2%
24°C
$56 Обс.
7%
25°C
$342 Обс.
24%
26°C
$390 Обс.
35%
27°C
$696 Обс.
36%
28°C
$183 Обс.
9%
29°C
$24 Обс.
1%
30°C
$618 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$40 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow and a lingering cloud band over the northern South China Sea are the main drivers keeping Hong Kong's overnight minimum temperatures clustered around 25–27 °C on September 14.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projects a daily range of 27–31 °C with brief sunshine and isolated showers, consistent with multiple numerical models showing light northeast winds and high humidity that limit strong radiative cooling. Recent dissipation of a tropical cyclone toward Vietnam has allowed the monsoon to strengthen, suppressing extreme warmth while preventing sharp drops below 25 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even odds between 26 °C and 27 °C captures this narrow uncertainty band, with any late-evening shower activity or clearer skies under the building anticyclone the key variables that could shift the realized minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,843Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow and a lingering cloud band over the northern South China Sea are the main drivers keeping Hong Kong's overnight minimum temperatures clustered around 25–27 °C on September 14.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projects a daily range of 27–31 °C with brief sunshine and isolated showers, consistent with multiple numerical models showing light northeast winds and high humidity that limit strong radiative cooling. Recent dissipation of a tropical cyclone toward Vietnam has allowed the monsoon to strengthen, suppressing extreme warmth while preventing sharp drops below 25 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even odds between 26 °C and 27 °C captures this narrow uncertainty band, with any late-evening shower activity or clearer skies under the building anticyclone the key variables that could shift the realized minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$2,843Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast monsoon flow and a lingering cloud band over the northern South China Sea are the main drivers keeping Hong Kong's overnight minimum temperatures clustered around 25–27 °C on September 14.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projects a daily range of 27–31 °C with brief sunshine and isolated showers, consistent with multiple numerical models showing light northeast winds and high humidity that limit strong radiative cooling. Recent dissipation of a tropical cyclone toward Vietnam has allowed the monsoon to strengthen, suppressing extreme warmth while preventing sharp drops below 25 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even odds between 26 °C and 27 °C captures this narrow uncertainty band, with any late-evening shower activity or clearer skies under the building anticyclone the key variables that could shift the realized minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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