**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Beijing on September 13, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** Current observations and model consensus show clear, dry conditions under high pressure with light northerly winds and low humidity around 15-30%, allowing temperatures to peak near 30-31°C by mid-afternoon. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug (84°F/29°C), Yr.no (30°C max), and hourly data reaching 29-30°C align closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology where highs average near 27°C but can reach the low 30s under sunny skies. Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions from the China Meteorological Administration or a slightly earlier wind shift that caps the peak at 30°C; a late surge above 31°C remains possible but less supported by the latest model runs. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
31°C 99.8%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$64,386 Обс.
$64,386 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$64,386 Обс.
$64,386 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
24°C or below
$73 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$339 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$661 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,080 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$8,481 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$14,154 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$9,426 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$16,289 Обс.
100%
32°C
$8,137 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$4,752 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$991 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Beijing on September 13, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** Current observations and model consensus show clear, dry conditions under high pressure with light northerly winds and low humidity around 15-30%, allowing temperatures to peak near 30-31°C by mid-afternoon. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug (84°F/29°C), Yr.no (30°C max), and hourly data reaching 29-30°C align closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology where highs average near 27°C but can reach the low 30s under sunny skies.
Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions from the China Meteorological Administration or a slightly earlier wind shift that caps the peak at 30°C; a late surge above 31°C remains possible but less supported by the latest model runs. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$64,386Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Beijing on September 13, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** Current observations and model consensus show clear, dry conditions under high pressure with light northerly winds and low humidity around 15-30%, allowing temperatures to peak near 30-31°C by mid-afternoon. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug (84°F/29°C), Yr.no (30°C max), and hourly data reaching 29-30°C align closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology where highs average near 27°C but can reach the low 30s under sunny skies.
Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions from the China Meteorological Administration or a slightly earlier wind shift that caps the peak at 30°C; a late surge above 31°C remains possible but less supported by the latest model runs. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$64,386Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C high in Beijing on September 13, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** Current observations and model consensus show clear, dry conditions under high pressure with light northerly winds and low humidity around 15-30%, allowing temperatures to peak near 30-31°C by mid-afternoon. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug (84°F/29°C), Yr.no (30°C max), and hourly data reaching 29-30°C align closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology where highs average near 27°C but can reach the low 30s under sunny skies. Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions from the China Meteorological Administration or a slightly earlier wind shift that caps the peak at 30°C; a late surge above 31°C remains possible but less supported by the latest model runs. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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