Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, show Zhengzhou under stable high pressure with overcast to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation on September 13. These conditions support daytime warming to a high near 28–30°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the city’s continental climate where average highs decline from roughly 29°C early in the month. Recent hourly observations and ensemble runs cluster around 29°C as the most probable peak, with limited model spread and no incoming cold front or heat advection to shift the range. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (57% implied probability) and 30°C (21.5%), while assigning negligible odds to outliers below 28°C or above 31°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 13?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 13?
29°C 80%
30°C 21%
31°C 6.3%
32°C or higher 2.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
62%
30°C
25%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 80%
30°C 21%
31°C 6.3%
32°C or higher 2.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
$10 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$140 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$222 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$431 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$381 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,248 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$126 Обс.
62%
30°C
$293 Обс.
25%
31°C
$469 Обс.
6%
32°C or higher
$105 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, show Zhengzhou under stable high pressure with overcast to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation on September 13. These conditions support daytime warming to a high near 28–30°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the city’s continental climate where average highs decline from roughly 29°C early in the month. Recent hourly observations and ensemble runs cluster around 29°C as the most probable peak, with limited model spread and no incoming cold front or heat advection to shift the range. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (57% implied probability) and 30°C (21.5%), while assigning negligible odds to outliers below 28°C or above 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,435Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, show Zhengzhou under stable high pressure with overcast to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation on September 13. These conditions support daytime warming to a high near 28–30°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the city’s continental climate where average highs decline from roughly 29°C early in the month. Recent hourly observations and ensemble runs cluster around 29°C as the most probable peak, with limited model spread and no incoming cold front or heat advection to shift the range. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (57% implied probability) and 30°C (21.5%), while assigning negligible odds to outliers below 28°C or above 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,435Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, show Zhengzhou under stable high pressure with overcast to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation on September 13. These conditions support daytime warming to a high near 28–30°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the city’s continental climate where average highs decline from roughly 29°C early in the month. Recent hourly observations and ensemble runs cluster around 29°C as the most probable peak, with limited model spread and no incoming cold front or heat advection to shift the range. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (57% implied probability) and 30°C (21.5%), while assigning negligible odds to outliers below 28°C or above 31°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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