Forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a maximum of 25°C for Cape Town on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate onshore flow, aligning with the market's 95.5% implied probability for that exact threshold. Recent observational data show afternoon readings climbing toward but not clearly surpassing 24–25°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when highs typically range 18–22°C. Thunderstorm activity and persistent cloud cover limit further warming, while any unexpected clearing could push readings higher. Official station reports at resolution will confirm whether the peak meets, exceeds, or falls below the 25°C mark.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
25°C 96%
26°C 2%
27°C 1.2%
29°C or higher <1%
$36,151 Обс.
$36,151 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
96%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 96%
26°C 2%
27°C 1.2%
29°C or higher <1%
$36,151 Обс.
$36,151 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
$3,563 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$1,700 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$4,679 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$4,846 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$3,241 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$4,824 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$5,043 Обс.
96%
26°C
$3,463 Обс.
2%
27°C
$1,560 Обс.
1%
28°C
$742 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$2,490 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a maximum of 25°C for Cape Town on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate onshore flow, aligning with the market's 95.5% implied probability for that exact threshold. Recent observational data show afternoon readings climbing toward but not clearly surpassing 24–25°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when highs typically range 18–22°C. Thunderstorm activity and persistent cloud cover limit further warming, while any unexpected clearing could push readings higher. Official station reports at resolution will confirm whether the peak meets, exceeds, or falls below the 25°C mark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$36,151Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a maximum of 25°C for Cape Town on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate onshore flow, aligning with the market's 95.5% implied probability for that exact threshold. Recent observational data show afternoon readings climbing toward but not clearly surpassing 24–25°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when highs typically range 18–22°C. Thunderstorm activity and persistent cloud cover limit further warming, while any unexpected clearing could push readings higher. Official station reports at resolution will confirm whether the peak meets, exceeds, or falls below the 25°C mark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$36,151Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a maximum of 25°C for Cape Town on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate onshore flow, aligning with the market's 95.5% implied probability for that exact threshold. Recent observational data show afternoon readings climbing toward but not clearly surpassing 24–25°C, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when highs typically range 18–22°C. Thunderstorm activity and persistent cloud cover limit further warming, while any unexpected clearing could push readings higher. Official station reports at resolution will confirm whether the peak meets, exceeds, or falls below the 25°C mark.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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