**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the day's maximum in Milan, with 95% implied probability, reflecting broad agreement across meteorological models and real-time observations.** Forecasts from sources including GFS-based projections and European services consistently indicate a daytime high near 26°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly or southeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, consistent with late-summer conditions and current afternoon readings around 25°C. This aligns with typical September baselines for the region without anomalous warming or cooling influences. A modest 4.5% chance for 27°C accounts for possible urban heat effects or minor model variance, while lower outcomes remain negligible. Resolution could shift only if official station data records an unexpected spike from localized factors or if final observations revise the peak downward due to earlier cloud cover.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on September 13?
26°C 95%
27°C 5%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$28,532 Обс.
$28,532 Обс.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
95%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 95%
27°C 5%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$28,532 Обс.
$28,532 Обс.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
95%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the day's maximum in Milan, with 95% implied probability, reflecting broad agreement across meteorological models and real-time observations.** Forecasts from sources including GFS-based projections and European services consistently indicate a daytime high near 26°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly or southeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, consistent with late-summer conditions and current afternoon readings around 25°C. This aligns with typical September baselines for the region without anomalous warming or cooling influences. A modest 4.5% chance for 27°C accounts for possible urban heat effects or minor model variance, while lower outcomes remain negligible. Resolution could shift only if official station data records an unexpected spike from localized factors or if final observations revise the peak downward due to earlier cloud cover.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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