Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is sustaining overcast skies, frequent showers, and southwest winds of 10–20 km/h across Metro Manila on August 31. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 26–28 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and persistent cloud cover reduce the typical 4–6 °C diurnal range, while any brief clear intervals or lighter winds could allow brief drops toward 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and latest global model runs show minimal spread in overnight lows, producing the market’s near-even probabilities across the 23–28 °C band and negligible odds for extremes. Updated forecast discussions and morning observations will refine the final recorded minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 31?
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
$130 Обс.
2%
22°C
$252 Обс.
1%
23°C
$0 Обс.
26%
24°C
$0 Обс.
27%
25°C
$0 Обс.
26%
26°C
$0 Обс.
28%
27°C
$0 Обс.
27%
28°C
$0 Обс.
26%
29°C
$270 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$265 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$40 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is sustaining overcast skies, frequent showers, and southwest winds of 10–20 km/h across Metro Manila on August 31. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 26–28 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and persistent cloud cover reduce the typical 4–6 °C diurnal range, while any brief clear intervals or lighter winds could allow brief drops toward 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and latest global model runs show minimal spread in overnight lows, producing the market’s near-even probabilities across the 23–28 °C band and negligible odds for extremes. Updated forecast discussions and morning observations will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$957Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is sustaining overcast skies, frequent showers, and southwest winds of 10–20 km/h across Metro Manila on August 31. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 26–28 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and persistent cloud cover reduce the typical 4–6 °C diurnal range, while any brief clear intervals or lighter winds could allow brief drops toward 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and latest global model runs show minimal spread in overnight lows, producing the market’s near-even probabilities across the 23–28 °C band and negligible odds for extremes. Updated forecast discussions and morning observations will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$957Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is sustaining overcast skies, frequent showers, and southwest winds of 10–20 km/h across Metro Manila on August 31. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 26–28 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and persistent cloud cover reduce the typical 4–6 °C diurnal range, while any brief clear intervals or lighter winds could allow brief drops toward 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and latest global model runs show minimal spread in overnight lows, producing the market’s near-even probabilities across the 23–28 °C band and negligible odds for extremes. Updated forecast discussions and morning observations will refine the final recorded minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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