Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models point to a high near 30–31°C in Manila on August 31 under the southwest monsoon, with scattered showers and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limiting peak heating. Persistent cloud cover and frequent rainfall suppress daytime insolation while high humidity sustains elevated heat indices, aligning closely with the August climatological average of 31°C. Trader consensus favoring 32°C over 31°C reflects minor model differences in timing of convective activity and boundary-layer mixing, where slightly reduced rain or lighter winds could allow brief periods of stronger solar radiation to push the daily maximum higher. Official observations and updated model runs expected overnight will further refine these narrow odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 31?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 31?
32°C 41%
31°C 37%
30°C 11%
33°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
37%
32°C
41%
33°C
10%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 37%
30°C 11%
33°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$223 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$286 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$172 Обс.
1%
28°C
$56 Обс.
2%
29°C
$64 Обс.
5%
30°C
$481 Обс.
11%
31°C
$715 Обс.
37%
32°C
$1,204 Обс.
41%
33°C
$368 Обс.
10%
34°C
$12 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$150 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models point to a high near 30–31°C in Manila on August 31 under the southwest monsoon, with scattered showers and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limiting peak heating. Persistent cloud cover and frequent rainfall suppress daytime insolation while high humidity sustains elevated heat indices, aligning closely with the August climatological average of 31°C. Trader consensus favoring 32°C over 31°C reflects minor model differences in timing of convective activity and boundary-layer mixing, where slightly reduced rain or lighter winds could allow brief periods of stronger solar radiation to push the daily maximum higher. Official observations and updated model runs expected overnight will further refine these narrow odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,732Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models point to a high near 30–31°C in Manila on August 31 under the southwest monsoon, with scattered showers and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limiting peak heating. Persistent cloud cover and frequent rainfall suppress daytime insolation while high humidity sustains elevated heat indices, aligning closely with the August climatological average of 31°C. Trader consensus favoring 32°C over 31°C reflects minor model differences in timing of convective activity and boundary-layer mixing, where slightly reduced rain or lighter winds could allow brief periods of stronger solar radiation to push the daily maximum higher. Official observations and updated model runs expected overnight will further refine these narrow odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,732Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models point to a high near 30–31°C in Manila on August 31 under the southwest monsoon, with scattered showers and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limiting peak heating. Persistent cloud cover and frequent rainfall suppress daytime insolation while high humidity sustains elevated heat indices, aligning closely with the August climatological average of 31°C. Trader consensus favoring 32°C over 31°C reflects minor model differences in timing of convective activity and boundary-layer mixing, where slightly reduced rain or lighter winds could allow brief periods of stronger solar radiation to push the daily maximum higher. Official observations and updated model runs expected overnight will further refine these narrow odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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