Persistent southwest monsoon rains and extensive cloud cover over Manila on August 30 are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near the 24–25°C threshold. High humidity (88–96%), strong southwesterly winds mixing the boundary layer, and widespread overcast conditions from the monsoon and distant tropical depression “Pilandok” have produced overnight lows consistent with official PAGASA guidance of 24–27°C. Model consensus and recent station data show the daily minimum hovering between these two values depending on exact timing of any brief clear spells or rainfall intensity, explaining the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities while rendering outcomes below 23°C or above 26°C highly unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$1,454 Обс.
$1,454 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
52%
25°C
50%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$1,454 Обс.
$1,454 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$241 Обс.
1%
22°C
$57 Обс.
1%
23°C
$28 Обс.
2%
24°C
$6 Обс.
52%
25°C
$10 Обс.
50%
26°C
$309 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$285 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$82 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$65 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$310 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$60 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon rains and extensive cloud cover over Manila on August 30 are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near the 24–25°C threshold. High humidity (88–96%), strong southwesterly winds mixing the boundary layer, and widespread overcast conditions from the monsoon and distant tropical depression “Pilandok” have produced overnight lows consistent with official PAGASA guidance of 24–27°C. Model consensus and recent station data show the daily minimum hovering between these two values depending on exact timing of any brief clear spells or rainfall intensity, explaining the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities while rendering outcomes below 23°C or above 26°C highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,454Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon rains and extensive cloud cover over Manila on August 30 are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near the 24–25°C threshold. High humidity (88–96%), strong southwesterly winds mixing the boundary layer, and widespread overcast conditions from the monsoon and distant tropical depression “Pilandok” have produced overnight lows consistent with official PAGASA guidance of 24–27°C. Model consensus and recent station data show the daily minimum hovering between these two values depending on exact timing of any brief clear spells or rainfall intensity, explaining the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities while rendering outcomes below 23°C or above 26°C highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,454Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon rains and extensive cloud cover over Manila on August 30 are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near the 24–25°C threshold. High humidity (88–96%), strong southwesterly winds mixing the boundary layer, and widespread overcast conditions from the monsoon and distant tropical depression “Pilandok” have produced overnight lows consistent with official PAGASA guidance of 24–27°C. Model consensus and recent station data show the daily minimum hovering between these two values depending on exact timing of any brief clear spells or rainfall intensity, explaining the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities while rendering outcomes below 23°C or above 26°C highly unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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