**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Manila on August 23 centers on 28°C as the leading outcome (73% implied probability), reflecting official forecasts and monsoon-driven conditions that limit overnight cooling.** PAGASA and AccuWeather guidance for the day project minimums primarily in the 24–27°C range amid the southwest monsoon (habagat), which sustains high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers. These factors suppress radiative cooling at night, keeping lows near or slightly above the historical August average of 24–26°C. Recent synoptic updates show no significant cool air intrusions or clear-sky periods that would allow temperatures to drop to 25°C or below, where probabilities cluster around 19–20%. The strong weighting toward 28°C aligns with the upper end of expected ranges under persistent cloudy, moist conditions, while sub-23°C outcomes remain negligible (under 1%) given the tropical baseline and lack of unusual atmospheric drivers. Evening observations and the next PAGASA update will refine these market-implied odds near resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 23?
28°C 91%
23°C 28%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
28%
24°C
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
73%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 91%
23°C 28%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$20 Обс.
1%
22°C
$36 Обс.
1%
23°C
$74 Обс.
28%
24°C
$87 Обс.
17%
25°C
$12 Обс.
19%
26°C
$0 Обс.
20%
27°C
$0 Обс.
20%
28°C
$97 Обс.
73%
29°C
$291 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$194 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Manila on August 23 centers on 28°C as the leading outcome (73% implied probability), reflecting official forecasts and monsoon-driven conditions that limit overnight cooling.**
PAGASA and AccuWeather guidance for the day project minimums primarily in the 24–27°C range amid the southwest monsoon (habagat), which sustains high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers. These factors suppress radiative cooling at night, keeping lows near or slightly above the historical August average of 24–26°C. Recent synoptic updates show no significant cool air intrusions or clear-sky periods that would allow temperatures to drop to 25°C or below, where probabilities cluster around 19–20%. The strong weighting toward 28°C aligns with the upper end of expected ranges under persistent cloudy, moist conditions, while sub-23°C outcomes remain negligible (under 1%) given the tropical baseline and lack of unusual atmospheric drivers. Evening observations and the next PAGASA update will refine these market-implied odds near resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$936Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Manila on August 23 centers on 28°C as the leading outcome (73% implied probability), reflecting official forecasts and monsoon-driven conditions that limit overnight cooling.**
PAGASA and AccuWeather guidance for the day project minimums primarily in the 24–27°C range amid the southwest monsoon (habagat), which sustains high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers. These factors suppress radiative cooling at night, keeping lows near or slightly above the historical August average of 24–26°C. Recent synoptic updates show no significant cool air intrusions or clear-sky periods that would allow temperatures to drop to 25°C or below, where probabilities cluster around 19–20%. The strong weighting toward 28°C aligns with the upper end of expected ranges under persistent cloudy, moist conditions, while sub-23°C outcomes remain negligible (under 1%) given the tropical baseline and lack of unusual atmospheric drivers. Evening observations and the next PAGASA update will refine these market-implied odds near resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$936Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Manila on August 23 centers on 28°C as the leading outcome (73% implied probability), reflecting official forecasts and monsoon-driven conditions that limit overnight cooling.** PAGASA and AccuWeather guidance for the day project minimums primarily in the 24–27°C range amid the southwest monsoon (habagat), which sustains high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers. These factors suppress radiative cooling at night, keeping lows near or slightly above the historical August average of 24–26°C. Recent synoptic updates show no significant cool air intrusions or clear-sky periods that would allow temperatures to drop to 25°C or below, where probabilities cluster around 19–20%. The strong weighting toward 28°C aligns with the upper end of expected ranges under persistent cloudy, moist conditions, while sub-23°C outcomes remain negligible (under 1%) given the tropical baseline and lack of unusual atmospheric drivers. Evening observations and the next PAGASA update will refine these market-implied odds near resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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