**Current meteorological forecasts position overnight lows near 29–31°C as the baseline for Jeddah on August 24, driven by the region's persistent warm, humid air mass advected from the Red Sea and Arabian interior.** High relative humidity (typically 50–60% at night) limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow diurnal temperature range and keeping minimums elevated compared with inland desert sites. August climatology shows average lows around 27–30°C, with recent model runs from sources such as the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and international ensembles indicating stable conditions and no significant cold-air intrusions or unusual cloud cover that would depress temperatures further. Market-implied probabilities favor outcomes at or above 30–33°C because traders appear to weight the strong historical precedent and current model consensus for continued warmth, while assigning low odds to rarer cooler scenarios (e.g., enhanced wind mixing or atypical advection) that would require substantial forecast shifts. Updated model guidance and official minimum-temperature observations will be the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 24?
33°C or higher 85%
31°C 37%
29°C 36%
25°C 28%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
28%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
18%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
85%
33°C or higher 85%
31°C 37%
29°C 36%
25°C 28%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
28%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
18%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current meteorological forecasts position overnight lows near 29–31°C as the baseline for Jeddah on August 24, driven by the region's persistent warm, humid air mass advected from the Red Sea and Arabian interior.** High relative humidity (typically 50–60% at night) limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow diurnal temperature range and keeping minimums elevated compared with inland desert sites. August climatology shows average lows around 27–30°C, with recent model runs from sources such as the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and international ensembles indicating stable conditions and no significant cold-air intrusions or unusual cloud cover that would depress temperatures further. Market-implied probabilities favor outcomes at or above 30–33°C because traders appear to weight the strong historical precedent and current model consensus for continued warmth, while assigning low odds to rarer cooler scenarios (e.g., enhanced wind mixing or atypical advection) that would require substantial forecast shifts. Updated model guidance and official minimum-temperature observations will be the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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