**Model consensus from numerical weather forecasts points to an overnight minimum of 22–23°C in Chengdu on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, which explains the near-even market split favoring those two outcomes.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including international and regional models, indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C followed by radiative cooling overnight moderated by relative humidity of 50–80% and minimal wind shear in the Sichuan basin. This range aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical lows hover around 22°C absent strong frontal systems or clear-sky extremes. Official resolution will depend on the China Meteorological Administration’s minimum reading from primary stations, with any last-hour model adjustments or localized microclimate variations potentially shifting the final value between the two leading contracts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
23°C 97%
22°C 36%
21°C 5%
20°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
36%
23°C
92%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 97%
22°C 36%
21°C 5%
20°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
$169 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$245 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$38 Обс.
2%
21°C
$28 Обс.
5%
22°C
$27 Обс.
36%
23°C
$68 Обс.
92%
24°C
$305 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$382 Обс.
1%
26°C
$187 Обс.
1%
27°C
$310 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$420 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from numerical weather forecasts points to an overnight minimum of 22–23°C in Chengdu on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, which explains the near-even market split favoring those two outcomes.**
Forecasts from multiple sources, including international and regional models, indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C followed by radiative cooling overnight moderated by relative humidity of 50–80% and minimal wind shear in the Sichuan basin. This range aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical lows hover around 22°C absent strong frontal systems or clear-sky extremes. Official resolution will depend on the China Meteorological Administration’s minimum reading from primary stations, with any last-hour model adjustments or localized microclimate variations potentially shifting the final value between the two leading contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,180Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from numerical weather forecasts points to an overnight minimum of 22–23°C in Chengdu on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, which explains the near-even market split favoring those two outcomes.**
Forecasts from multiple sources, including international and regional models, indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C followed by radiative cooling overnight moderated by relative humidity of 50–80% and minimal wind shear in the Sichuan basin. This range aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical lows hover around 22°C absent strong frontal systems or clear-sky extremes. Official resolution will depend on the China Meteorological Administration’s minimum reading from primary stations, with any last-hour model adjustments or localized microclimate variations potentially shifting the final value between the two leading contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,180Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Model consensus from numerical weather forecasts points to an overnight minimum of 22–23°C in Chengdu on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, which explains the near-even market split favoring those two outcomes.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including international and regional models, indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C followed by radiative cooling overnight moderated by relative humidity of 50–80% and minimal wind shear in the Sichuan basin. This range aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical lows hover around 22°C absent strong frontal systems or clear-sky extremes. Official resolution will depend on the China Meteorological Administration’s minimum reading from primary stations, with any last-hour model adjustments or localized microclimate variations potentially shifting the final value between the two leading contracts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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